Professor Jevons, of Manchester -- so well know in the economical
and statistical world by his researches on coal -- has written an
excellent treatise on 'Money and the Mechanism of Exchange', which we
strongly recommend to our readers. It is extremely clear, brief
without being dry, and contains a good deal of very interesting
information. And we may add that it is written in a style of
scientific modesty rare in currency books. Mr Jevons is perpetually
aware that the subject abounds in questions of nicety and difficulty,
on which he is quite ready to admit that he may be wrong. It would be
a happy thing if persons far less competent than Mr Jevons to write on
the subject, but who incessantly do so, could be brought to that
admission.
On one point, however, we are at issue with Mr Jevons: he has far
more hope from economical science than we have. He thinks that it can
point out to mankind a far better theoretical standard of value than
gold or silver, and believes that, though it is encumbered with some
difficulties, probably the new plan would on the whole, when we got
used to it, work better than our present one. But for ourselves we
much fear that political economy has no such boon to confer on
mankind, and that we must adhere to one or other of the precious
metals as a standard of value, like our forefathers. Mr Jevons shall
explain his fundamental idea in his own words.
'The question,' he says, 'thus arises whether the progress of
economical and statistical science might not enable us to devise some
better standard of value. We have seen (pp. 136-143) that the
so-called double standard system of money spreads the fluctuations of
supply and demand of gold and silver over a larger area, and maintains
both metals more unchanged in value than they would otherwise be. Can
we not conceive a multiple legal tender, which would be still less
liable to variation? We estimate the value of one hundred pounds by
the quantities of corn, beef, potatoes, coal, timber, iron, tea,
coffee, beer, and other principal commodities, which it will purchase
from time to time. Might we not invent a legal tender note which
should be convertible, not into any one single commodity, but into an
aggregate of small quantities of various commodities, the quantity and
quality of each being rigourously defined? Thus a hundred pound note
would give the owners a right to demand one quarter of good wheat, one
tone of ordinary merchant bar iron, one hundred pounds weight of
middling cotton, twenty pounds of sugar, five pounds of tea, and other
articles sufficient to make up the value. All these commodities will,
of course, fluctuate in their relative values, but if the holder of
the note loses upon some, he will in all probability gain upon the
others, so that on average his note will remain steady in purchasing
power. Indeed, as the articles into which it is convertible are those
needed for continual consumption, the purchasing power of the note
must remain steady compared with that of gold or silver, which metals
are employed only for a few special purposes.'
And he goes on to explain that of course this kind of currency could
not, in practice, be used, as no one wishes to have all these
miscellaneous things, or could pass them away if he had them. But Mr
Jevons does not think this objection conclusive: he borrows from a
nearly forgotten writer of fifty years ago -- named 'Lowe' -- an
expedient which he thinks meets the difficulties satisfactorily.
"Mr Lowe', we are told, 'treats, in a very enlightened manner,
of the fluctuations in the value of money, and proceeds to propound a
scheme, probably invented by him, for giving a steady value to money
contracts. He proposes that persons should be appointed to collect
authentic information concerning the prices at which the staple
articles of household consumption were sold. In regard to corn and
sugar, authoritative returns were then, and have ever since been,
published in the London Gazette, and there seemed to be no difficulty
in extending a like system to other articles. Having regard to the
comparative quantities of commodities consumed in a household, he
would then frame a table of reference, showing in what degree a money
contract must be varied so as to make the purchasing power uniform. In
principle, the scheme seems to be perfectly sound; but Lowe did not
attempt to work out the practical details, and his plan involves
needless difficulties. A very similar scheme was independently
proposed, about eleven years later, by Mr G. Poulett Scrope, the
well-known writer on geology and political economy. In a very able but
now forgotten pamphlet called 'An Examination of the Bank Charter
Question, with an Inquiry into the Nature of a Just Standard of Value."
(London, 1833), Mr Scrope suggests (p. 26) that a Standard might be
formed by taking an average of the mass of commodities which, even if
not employed as the legal standard, might serve to determine and
correct the variations in the legal standard. The scheme was also
described in Mr Scrope's interesting book on the Principles of
Political Economy, published in the same year (p. 406), and in the
second edition of the same book called Political Economy for Plain
People, issued two years ago (p. 308). The late Mr G.R. Porter,
without referring to previous writers, gave the same scheme in 1838 in
the first edition of his well-known treatise on The Progress of the
Nation (Sections III and IV, page 235). He added a table showing the
average fluctuations of fifty commodities monthly during the years
1833 to 1836. Such schemes for a tabular or average standard of value
appear to be perfectly sound and highly valuable in a theoretical
point of view, and the principal difficulties are not of a serious
character. To carry Lowe's and Scrope's plans into effect, a permanent
government commission would have to be created, and endowed with a
kind of judicial power. The officers of the department would collect
the current prices of commodities in all the principal markets of the
kingdom, and, by a well-defined system of calculation, would compute
from these data the average variations in the purchasing power of
gold. The decisions of this commission would be published monthly, and
payments would be adjusted in accordance with them. Thus suppose that
a debt of one hundred pounds was incurred upon the 1st of July, 1875,
and was to paid back on the 1st July 1878; if the commission had
decided in June, 1878, that the value of gold had fallen in the ratio
of 106 to 100 in the intervening years, then the creditor would claim
an increase of 6 per cent in the nominal amount of the debt. At first
the use of this national tabular standard might be permissive, so that
it could be enforced only where the parties to the contract had
inserted a clause to that effect in their contract. After the
practicability and utility of the plan had become sufficiently
demonstrated, it might be made compulsory, in the sense that every
money debt of, say, more than three months' standing, would be varied
according to the tabular standard, in the absence of an express
provision to the contrary.' And Mr Jevons rather boldly says that 'the
objections to this scheme are not considerable.'
But we confess they seem to us so many, and so important, that we
hardly know where to begin.
First -- it is wholly unfit for a nation which has a foreign trade.
A foreigner wants payment in a medium which he can use in his own
country, and he wants to be precisely sure how much of that medium he
will receive. Since the civil war the United States have been
excessively inconvenienced by the want of such a medium. A bill drawn
on New York for 1,000 dollars would be paid in greenbacks, but
greenbacks are of no use out of America; to be of use elsewhere they
must be changed into gold or silver, and the rate at which they can be
so changed is uncertain. And the 'tabular standard' is radically
faulty in the very same way. No one could tell what a draft, say for £1,000
on London, would fetch; it might be £1,060, or anything else.
There would always be an uncertain percentage. Since the Franco-German
war London has become the exchange centre for Europe far more than
before, because the infinitesimally small premium on gold as compared
with Bank of France notes introduced an uncertain element. But al the
business so obtained we should lose, and much more, under the 'tabular
standard'. London would be unfit for exchange business of any sort;
there would always be a far larger inscrutable element which would
drive all such business away. And, more generally, every importer of
good into England would then have to consider what would be his
possible loss by fluctuations in the currency -- which, as America has
found to her cost, is the greatest discouragement and check to trade.
Secondly, -- It would make banking impossible. A banker would never
know what he owed. At periodical intervals the Commissioners would say
that he owed less or more. And in the case of each debt he must do a
separate sum, since money might have changed in 'purchasing power', as
respects the 'tabular' commodities, or less according to the time at
which each debt was contracted; it might be more in six months, and
less in three months, or just the contrary. Then, again, on his
unoccupied cash -- say on the £10,000,000 reserve in the Bank of
England -- the loss or gain by fluctuations would be prodigious; and
the gain would be no compensation for the loss, since it would turn
the trade into a kind of gambling, by introducing an incalculable
element into it. And it would be quite impossible to explain the
matter to the ordinary and poorer customers. Farmer A would always say
he was cheated if he did not get as much for his debt as farmer B,
though if the two debts were of different dates such would be the
necessary effect of the plan, and though the banker fully expounded
it. No doubt too poor people would be cheated, not of course by
bankers, but by designing people of every sort; an element
incomprehensible by the people is fatal to a popular currency, for it
is essential to one that the people should understand it -- should
know when it was well used, and see that it was not misused.
Probably our readers will think these objections enough, but we have
not finished; for thirdly, -- it would be necessary to preserve most
elaborate standards of the various articles which constitute the
standard, else we should, in so fine a matter, make the most serious
errors, for almost every article varies in quality as well as in
quantity, and its value depends nearly as much on one as on the other.
But as most articles are perishable you could not preserve a standard
of them. Nor could you define the quality in Act of Parliament, so
that it could be tested. Every one who has studied our former sugar
duties knows how difficult it was to give even a rude definition of
the sort of sugar intended. And if the law were to try to fix the
standard quality of 'fifty' different articles, it would fail. No
draughtsman could put the quality of beef, or pork, or tea, into an
Act of Parliament. Mr Jevons refers to the 'Gazette average of corn'
as if it helped his plan. But there is no better instance to point
this objection: the 'Gazette average' is not the price of the same
kind of corn at different times. It is made up from the reported sales
of 'British corn' in certain markets, or on the average price of those
sales, and consequently, if you compare a time when much good and
little bad wheat was sold with one at which much bad was sold and
little good, you will be comparing things really different. For
statistical purposes such calculations may be used because they are
the best which can be had, but currencies cannot be framed, or real
business transacted upon them.
And lastly, there is a fundamental fault of principle in the scheme
upon which the foregoing objections more or less depend. In a good
currency the paying medium ought either to be identical with, or
readily interchangable into, a definite quantity of the standard of
value. This is so, for example, so long as sovereigns are both the
standard of value and the paying medium, and so long as banknotes are
convertible at once for the number of sovereigns which each note
mentions. but in the 'tabular plan' the 'standard' is the list of
commodities in the table, and the paying medium is the gold and silver
which these commodities are equal to, at variable rates, fixed from
time to time. And in consequence, the paying medium is in a state of
incessant fluctuation, as compared with the standard. Sir R. Peel's
question. 'What is a pound?' is answered by saying: 'The pound is a
list of such and such articles; ' but then none of these articles are
in use; the only things in use are coins and banknotes payable in coin
-- so that the relation of the coinage to the 'standard' is in a state
of incessant variation. And this is a fundamental fault, because the
relation of the actual money to the abstract standard ought always to
be the same, for concrete money is the only means of bringing an
abstract standard into action. A good 'standard of value' is of no use
without the supplement of a good paying machinery, and no such
machinery can be good which shifts in its relation to the standard.
This is the essential fault of an inconvertible currency, say, of
'greenbacks' for as no one can demand metal dollars for them, they are
sometimes at one value and sometimes at another. And so would the
paying media under the proposed tabular system; their relation to the
standard would be varied periodically, at the discretion of
Commissioners, and consequently, they would be unfit for the purpose
of commerce.
We cannot think, therefore, that this plan will be of any use in
practice. We must be 'Conservative', so far as an adherence to a gold
and silver coinage goes; but it is instructive to trace the effects of
such schemes, and they could not be discussed unless they were
proposed.