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The Fallacy of the "Three-Legged
Stool" Metaphor
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| [Reprinted from State
Tax Notes, Vol.35, No.6, 2 February 2005, pp.377-381] |
Tax students, especially at the state level, ply their trade by
invoking one metaphor above all others: the three-legged stool.[1] It
rests on the claim that a sound and successful tax regime for any
government needs to rely on a three tax bases: income, property and
sales. This is repeated so often that it passes today without much
examination.
There seem to be mainly three arguments for this:
- 1. that taxes should be drawn from as wide an array of sources as
possible so as not to overburden any one base or sector.
- 2. that the spread of tax burdens over a number of bases will
ensure greater stability and reliability.
- 3. that reliance upon a wider number of revenue streams minimizes
the downside consequences which all taxes impose on the economy.
It is even claimed that revenue streams should rely on each such base
in roughly equal proportions, lest structural imbalances will otherwise
eventuate that jeopardize public support of government. There are of
course exceptions. States that have rich mineral wealth have the luxury
of imposing taxes that relieve them of the need to rely equally on the "big
three." So also for states that have a rich tourist industry or
that can rely heavily on gambling revenue. But a state is open to the
charge that its revenue structure is unbalanced, unfair, or worse unless
such special circumstances warrant.
Such wisdom is found most frequently in the literature of various tax
study commissions periodically constituted over the past thirty years.
Many of the staff directors of these bodies have circulated from state
to state as traveling emissaries, and it is not surprising therefore
that their official reports often bear a striking resemblance to one
another.[2] Typically they address matters such as the extent to which
various taxes conform to the venerable principles of sound tax theory
(discussed further below), their competitiveness with other political
jurisdictions, and the balance of revenue streams.
The Montana Committee study,[3] chosen here simply as a typical
illustration, makes special effort to argue that "elements of a
high quality revenue system are complimentary rather than contradictory.
Taxes should complement each other so they provide a way to have all
economic activity and wealth contribute proportionally to supporting
government services. Taxes should not be just a number of different
methods to generate revenue from the same economic activity or wealth;
thus taxing some segments of society very heavily and others sparsely."
It goes on to argue that "a high quality state revenue system
reflects the limitations and financial responsibilities that state
government places upon local governments. State policy makers should be
explicitly aware of the costs that state mandates impose on local
governments, and local governments should have the authority to raise
sufficient revenues to meet these obligations. If local governments lack
the revenue bases necessary to provide services mandated by state
government, state policy makers should consider statewide solutions to
avoid extreme inequities. As an example, in some instances, state
government could consider subsidizing local governments to reduce local
tax burdens or increase service levels for governments that lack enough
taxing capacity to meet some state standard of services. This approach
however, should be weighed against the principle of local autonomy. In
which local voters decide which services they want to receive and raise
the money to pay for them."
The Montana study reflects the conventional wisdom that "a high
quality revenue system relies on a diverse and broad based range of
sources. One of the goals of a quality revenue system is economic
neutrality to prevent the distortion of individual and business
behavior. If reliance is divided among numerous sources and their bases
are broad, rates can be made low in order to minimize the impact on
behavior. A broad base itself helps meet the goal of diversification
since it spreads the burden of the tax among more players than a narrow
base does. And the low rates that broad bases make possible can improve
a state's competitive position relative to other states. When possible,
we should try to balance our tax systems through reliance on the
three-legged stool of income, sales, and property taxes in roughly equal
proportions, with excise, business, gaming, and severance taxes, and
user charges playing an important supplementary role. In any instance,
every attempt should be made to avoid excessive reliance on any single
revenue source."
The power with which the three-legged stool analogy has underpinned tax
policy is in fact rather disconcerting, because a close examination of
its premises shows that they are very questionable. These benchmark
measures of a tax regime are scrutinized here in order to cast doubt on
the claims so often made on their behalf.
Taking first the argument that spreading the tax burden over as wide a
base of sources as possible, it is best to begin by noting that revenue
streams can be drawn from only three elements of the economy: land,
labor, and/or capital. Standard textbooks for Economics 101 typically
start with recognition of these factors, even if they usually give
insufficient attention to land as a component. Classical economics,
culminating particularly in the tradition of Henry George, includes in
the idea of land any and all components of value not created by human
hands or minds. It therefore means not just locational sites on the
earth's surface that might be bought and sold as real estate, but other
elements of so-called "natural capital" as well: the
electromagnetic spectrum, air, water, fish in the ocean, mineral wealth,
airport time slots, and so on. Those elements have a market price, and
can be - indeed are - often subject to taxation. It is important to
note, however, that taxes on such land are capitalized in the market
value of their worth; they cannot be passed forward or backward because
their supply is essentially inelastic.
This is important, as will be noted below, because imposing such taxes
incurs no excess burden on their use or upon the general economy. Taxing
such bases is totally neutral and completely efficient. Indeed, it is
the failure to tax land as stated that leads to economic distortions and
cause an economy to function at a sub-optimal level. Land, whatever its
form, has a market value only to the extent that a human presence exists
to make use of it, and it acquires that value due to the accretion of
economic rent, the return on labor and capital, that comes to rest on
such factors.
Taxes on labor and capital, in contrast, are always shifted. Studies of
so-called tax incidence seldom trace the flow of tax burdens beyond the
first or second of the shift. Textbooks and research studies will note
that particular burdens - for instance, a tax on the sale of goods -
will be partly borne by the vendor and partly also by the consumer. The
vendor in turn sees that tax incorporated into the price he pays for the
product at the wholesale level; the consumer sees his burden reflected
in the relative cost of living of his tax jurisdiction - which in turn
affects the price of his home and his wages. The shift in taxes, as
economic theory makes clear, are ultimately converted to rent, and that
rent, as capitalized in land prices, is its final resting place. It is a
truism of classical economics as carried through in the present day
tradition of Georgism that all taxes come out of rent -- an
adage that has come to be abbreviated as ATCOR.
What this insight means is that all taxes not first imposed on
landsites and collected from the rent that rests thereon are instead
passed through the economy from one party to another until they
ultimately come to rest on land. The passing along of tax burdens not
only creates distortions in economic transactions; it also constitutes
an excess burden and an inefficiency that handicaps economic
performance. Taxing capital makes it more expensive and leads to less
saving and investment; taxing labor, in the same way, depresses wages
and discourages enterprise. Contemporary economists and conventional tax
theorists well recognize that taxing labor and capital is detrimental to
economic vitality -- politicians thrive on repeating this ad nauseum.
Currently the Republican party seems best able to exploit resentment
about the negative impact of taxes. But it is not alone in failing to
appreciate the nature of tax shifting. What all fail to realize is that
there are exceptions to the rule that taxes are destructive: any tax
imposed on an inelastic base - that is, any form of land -- constitutes
no distortion or excess burden whatsoever.
Far from spreading the burden of distribution over a wide array of tax
bases, the ideal tax, then, should be imposed solely on those factors of
production that form an inelastic base, i.e., that constitute forms of
land - whether they be locational sites, natural resources, the
spectrum, time slots, or others as they may arise in the future. Land,
in any of its forms, is totally inelastic. Will Rogers in his pithy way
said it well, "Buy land. They ain't making any more of the stuff."
Mark Twain said it too.
A second claim among advocates of spreading tax burdens over the "big
three" bases (and sometimes more if possible) is that it insures
greater reliability and stability of the revenue streams supportive of
government services. To be sure not all government services require
stable budgets - motor vehicle licensure varies with the state of the
economy as do the needs of social welfare programs and some offices
related to capital investment. But most programs do need to rely on
predictable and stable financial support, particularly education,
health, and public safety. With revenue streams based on formulas that
vacillate from year to year, it becomes difficult to provide for public
needs, and the continual struggle over fiscal designs in the political
arena is frequently costly.
Economic cycles are accepted as a given in both government and business
circles. But there is compelling evidence that such cycles have their
roots in the tendency for elements of the financial community to
speculate in real estate, fostering bubbles in their market prices that
ultimately must be reconciled with the real demand.[4] Because the
market price of landsites is in good part a function of the settling of
rent, the recapture of that rent in the form of taxation would both
stabilize those markets and remove the cause of those regular cycles. By
collecting only a miniscule element of land rent, and instead collecting
revenue from labor and capital, economic cycles are amplified and
exacerbated, to say nothing of their effect on productivity. Evidence of
the stabilizing effect of taxes on landsites in the form of economic
rent collection is shown best by the fact that those nations and states
that rely most heavily on land taxation are least subject to cyclical
tendencies[5] and intermittent recessions. Japan, which imposes no tax
on urban land, has yet to recover from the crash in hits real estate
market almost fifteen years ago.[6]
The third claim, that reliance upon a wider number of revenue streams
minimizes the downside consequences that all taxes impose, requires an
extensive examination of the various options available. What, first of
all, are those aspects that must be avoided? What are the standards
against which various taxes can and should be measured? These are
typically listed as anywhere from four to even seven depending upon
their description. Mostly commonly are neutrality, efficiency, equity,
administrability, simplicity, stability, sufficiency.[7] Tax theorists
typically measure revenue structures according to any or all of these
criteria:
Tax neutrality refers to the influence (or absence of such) that any
particular design has on economic behavior. Typically taxes are
perceived as a damp on economic activity -- taxing income reduces the
incentive to work, taxing sales discourages retail transactions, and
taxing savings reduces the propensity to save. The more a tax is
perceived to be neutral the less the identifiable distortions it imposes
on the economy. The common assumption of most tax theorists is that all
taxes impose distortions; it's simply a matter of which ones are least
burdensome to economic health. A tax which imposes no distortions is
ideally best.
Tax efficiency is much like tax neutrality, and is the measure of how
much shifting of behavior it imposes, resulting in what is called "excess
burden," or "deadweight loss" on the economy. Tax
economists usually hold that the best taxes are those that are shifted
little if at all. Because the elasticities (a technical word for the
slope of supply and demand curves) of each are very different, a tax on
land values and a tax on improvement values have very contrastive
effects on socio-economic choices. Using a tax base that has little or
zero elasticity is the best way of assuring that taxes are not shifted.
Zero elasticity is another way of saying fixed supply.
The principle of equity is central to any discussion of tax design. Tax
design requires concern with both what is fair and the extent to which
it must sometimes be compromised to satisfy the other principal
criteria. Fairness can be evaluated according to what is termed "horizontal
equity" -- the extent to which those in similar circumstances will
pay similar tax burdens, and "vertical equity" -- how well
those in different classes bear different burdens in the tax structure.
It is this latter perspective that leads to the use of terms like "proportional,"
"progressive," and "regressive" in referring to tax
structures. A tax is progressive with respect to income if the ratio of
tax revenue to income rises when moving up the income scale,
proportional if the ratio is constant, and regressive if the ratio
declines. There is an ancillary question of whether taxing to reach
greater equity should employ measures of income or of wealth, difficult
as this is to measure. Such questions of equity are a matter
particularly central when discussing the property tax. This will be
discussed further below.
Administrability refers to the ease with which a tax can be
administered and collected. Taxes which distort the economy are
inefficient but so are taxes that cost lots to administer. This is
measured not only in the direct costs of tax avoidance and accounting
expenses, but in the level of evasion and cheating, and by the cost of
government auditing and policing. When the taxpaying public perceives
that a tax is easily evaded, cumbersome, and unfair, it loses its
legitimacy and calls government itself into question.
This is why the principle of simplicity is important: the more complex
the tax design, the more lawyers and accountants will find loopholes,
encourage the appearance of unfairness, and drive up the cost of its
administration. People know that with simple taxes other parties are
also paying their fair share, and all this enhances the legitimacy and
therefore the compliance of the tax system.
Stability refers to the ability of a tax to produce revenue in the face
of changing economic circumstances. Income and sales taxes, for example,
vary greatly according to phases in the economic cycle; the property
tax, in contrast, is highly stable regardless of the state of the
economy. This is one reason why school administrators have typically
been supportive of using the property tax base rather than some other
tax to support school services.
The certainty of a tax's collection ensures that the number and types
of tax changes be kept to a minimum. Frequent changes in tax rates and
bases interfere with business decisions and the ability to make
long-term financial plans. This concept reinforces the need for
stability because an unstable revenue system is more likely to require
continual adjustments.
In assessing the value of a tax it is also important, of course, to
understand its potential to bring in revenue for the purposes of
government, usually deemed revenue sufficiency. Income, sales and
property taxes, along with corporation taxes to a lesser extent, have
come to be regarded as the workhorses of the American revenue structure.
But, as anti-tax politicians are quick to note, the higher these taxes
are, the more they impose a drag on the economy. This is why one should
ponder whether to consider raising taxes which have demonstrable
distorting effects.
To be sure, all of the "big three" taxes do indeed have
negative consequences. This is because all three are imposed largely on
capital and labor; only a minor component of taxes on property
constitute collection of economic rent. Yet students of the real
property tax readily acknowledge that it has two components: that
imposed on land values and that imposed on improvements. When the
improvements are taxed at a lower rate or when that levy is totally
removed, the tax constitutes a collection of rent alone. Because that
land is part of an inelastic tax base, it is totally neutral, completely
efficient, simple to understand and to collect, a stable tax base, and
easily administrable. This last is particularly important: in recent
years it has become possible in principle to assess land value by
computer algorithms (called computer-assisted mass appraisal, or CAMA),
obviating the need for assessors altogether. Isobars can be drawn on
maps showing land values similar to how elevations in land topography
are shown on geographic maps. A traditional criticism of conventional
property taxation, that assessment was often arbitrary and subjective,
no longer need be a compelling criticism.
The one criticism often levied against the conventional property tax is
its regressivity. This is in fact belied by the facts. Only two
empirical studies have ever been done on the subject, but both concluded
that the real property tax is mildly progressive.[8] When the two
elements of the property tax are taken separately, it becomes even
clearer why this is so: the land component of real property, being
inelastic, cannot be shifted to tenants, and is borne solely by the
titleholder to the property. When it comes to incidence of payment, the
roughly 35 percent of all American households who rent and do not own
(largely poor people) bear no tax burden whatsoever. Only the
improvement part of the real property tax is in any way shifted to
tenants. Even among the homeowning element of the American population,
studies have shown that a shift of the tax to land values typically
lowers the burden on about two thirds of all households. This is because
landsites on which homes are situated are typically not in the highest
land value neighborhoods, and it is business and commercial sites -
particularly the underused land parcels in those neighborhoods - that
typically bear a larger burden.[9] So that in fact a tax on land values
is really a profound shift in the direction of progressivity.
If one realizes that houses, just like cars, refrigerators, computers
and other manufactured items, depreciate in value and that only land
increases in market value due to the factors of inflation and rent
accretion, it will become clear that the remedy for onerous real estate
taxes is downtaxing buildings and uptaxing landsites. The result of
doing so will stabilize tax burdens for those who otherwise resent their
payment. In the unusual cases, especially during transitions, when
titleholders of limited income cannot manage such obligations, taxes can
easily be deferred until owners "cash out" by selling or dying
when such debts can be settled. Sales of appreciated landsites typically
provide estates with adequate wherewithal to both pay any back taxes and
give a capital gain too.
The upshot is that a tax on land value alone -- totally neutral,
efficient, certain, progressive, stable, and administrable -- measures
up so well that it looks like the perfect tax! It is even argued that a
land tax is "better than neutral," in that it actually fosters
the kind of economic activity that fosters vibrant communities.[10] It
also has very positive environmental effects inasmuch as it reverses the
centrifugal forces of suburban sprawl development and stimulates and
facilitates investment in urban cores.[11] Evidence on this matter
supports the claim that taxing land alone is a more appropriate solution
to both tax issues and spatial configuration issues than any other
remedy. In the final analysis, studies show that very few states measure
up to the one-third -- one third -- one-third standard in any case.
Political and other factors aside, there are good reasons for a state's
not abiding by such rules. It is only due to misunderstandings that
faith in the big three taxes constituting the three-legged stool have
come to prevail. When these taxes are measured by the extent to which
they conform to the conventionally accepted principles of sound tax
theory, they appear wanting. By shifting to the collection of economic
rent, manifest mainly in the form of land value taxation, governments
will better succeed not only in overcoming the prevailing resentment
against current taxation policies but provide better financial support
for those services which are the rightful province of public obligation.
REFERENCES
[1] There is no difficulty in
citing such references, in textbooks or online. A quick search of the
web turns up the following as illustrations: A Fiscal Crisis in State
Budgets: Are Taxes in Western States, WRDC Public Policy Information
Brief, No. 2, July, 2003; A Theory and Reality: Arizona's Tax
Structure, by Marshall J. Vest, Eller College of Business, University of
Arizona, n.d.; A Ranking Maine's Business Climate, by Charles Lawton and
Frank O'Hara, Maine Center for Economic Policy, July, 2004; A Report of
the (Ohio) Committee to Study State and Local Taxes, March, 2003;
AComments from the Utah Education Association on State Tax Policy, n.d.;
A [State of] Washington has the most unfair tax system by Polly Keary,
in Real Change, 4/29/04; and A Look behind the rhetoric of tax reform,
by Andy Brack, [South Carolina] Statehouse Report, Dec. 7, 2003.
[2] There are several studies of the work and value of tax study
commissions, easily available online. One such is by Therese McGuire, "Toward
State Tax Reform: Lessons from State Tax Studies," Prepared for the
Finance Project, November, 1995, at www.financeproject.org/toward.html.
Some states that have enlisted such projects are enumerated in that
paper, but far from all of them.
[3]A Universal Guiding Principles of Taxation, Prepared for the Tax
Reform Committee, Created by HB461, 2003 Legislative Session, Report
issued August, 2003, and available at
www.discoveringmontana.com/revenue/content/5foryourreference/studycommittees/taxreform/guiding
principlesoftaxation.doc.
[4] See Mason Gaffney, AThe Philosophy of Public Finance, especially,
pp. 188-192, in Fred Harrison (ed.), The Losses of Nations:
Deadweight Politics versus Public Rent Dividends. London: Othila
Press, 1988.
[5] See, for example, David Richards, "Land Markets and Business
Cycles in the UK and Australia," at
www.cooperativeindividualism.org/richards_land_markets_uk_and_au_01.html
; Bryan Kavanagh, "The Recovery Myth, Prosper Australia, 1994; and
John M. Quigley, "Real Estate and Economic Cycles,"
International Real Estate Review, Vol 1, #2 (1999).
[6] See, for example, Mason Gaffney and Richard Noyes, "The Income
Stimulating Effects of the Property Tax," in Fred Harrison (ed.),
The Losses of Nations: Deadweight Politics versus Public Rent
Dividends, London: Othila Press, 1998; and studies of Asian rim
countries' comparative reliance upon land taxation.
[7] Professor Fred Foldvary -- www.progress.org/archive/foldvary.htm --
has been especially articulate in reviewing the links between land
values, land taxation, and economic cycles.
[8] For a discussion of what students of tax policy regard as the
principles which should guide their design, see, for example, George
Break, "Taxation," Encarta Encyclopedia by Microsoft, 1993; "Principles
of Taxation, in Light of Modern Developments," Washington:
Federal Tax Policy Memo, The Tax Foundation; "Principles of a
High Quality Revenue System," Tax Notes, March 21, 1988; and David
G. Davies, United States Taxes and Tax Policy, (New York: Cambridge
University Press, 1986), pp. 17-19. State studies cited above also
typically list any or all of these criteria. I have seen accountability,
balance, certainty, competitiveness, and complementary included as well.
[9] See Peter Mieszkowski, "The Property Tax: An Excise or a
Profits Tax," Journal of Public Economics 1 (April 1972):
73-96, cited and discussed extensively by James Heilbrun, "Who
Bears the Burden of the Property Tax?" in Lowell Harriss (ed.), The
Property Tax and Local Finance, Proceedings of the Academy of Political
Science, Vol 35, #1 (1983), pp. 56-71, and Henry J. Aaron, Who Pays
the Property Tax: A New View, Washington: the Brookings Institution,
1975. See also Harvey S. Rosen, Public Finance, 2nd Edition (Homewood,
IL: Irwin Press, 1988), pp. 483-489; Mason Gaffney, "The Property
Tax is a Progressive Tax," Proceedings, National Tax Association,
64th Annual Conference, Kansas City, 1971, pp. 408-426. [Republished in
The Congressional Record, March 16, 1972: E 2675-79. (Cong. Les
Aspin.) Resources for the Future, Inc., The Property Tax is a
Progressive T ax, Reprint No. 104, October, 1972].
[10] For further discussion of this, see the work of the Center for the
Study of Economics, based in Philadelphia - www.urbantools.net.
[11]T. Nicolaus Tideman, "Taxing Land is Better than Neutral: Land
Taxes, Land Speculation, and the Timing of Development," in Kenneth
C. Wenzer (ed.), Land Value Taxation: The Equitable and Efficient
Source of Public Finance. Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe, 1999. H. William
Batt, "Stemming Sprawl: The Fiscal Approach," in Matthew
Lindstrom and Hugh Bartling (ed.), Suburban Sprawl: Culture, Theory,
Politics. Lanham Md: Rowman and Littlefield, 2003.
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