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| [Reprinted from the
Henry George News, June, 1964] |
LEADERS in various areas of public and private activity held a
conference last year and published their report entitled "Two
Top-Priority Programs to Reduce Unemployment." This is an extensive
compilation of statistical data designed to prove that there is more
poverty in the United States than was currently believed.
The report asserts that if the full-time equivalent of the number of
persons who would work part-time if they could, plus those discouraged
from looking for work because of the shortage, were added together, the
true figure of unemployment would reach about 7 million. This results in
a total production loss of some $475 billion. The reason given for this
rising unemployment and the accompanying idle plants is an insufficient
demand or purchasing power to call forth full use of productive
resources. This reduction in consumer demand is attributed to a wage
deficiency. Two reasons given for the inadequacy in wages are (a)
insufficient employment, and excessive unemployment and (b) a lag in
hourly wage rates behind gains in productivity or output per man hour.
Various charts show the rate of wage deficiency in the major
industries. From 1957-1962 productivity in the railroad industry
increased 5.5 per cent while wages only increased 2.3 per cent.
Productivity in the iron and steel industry rose 3.4 per cent but wages
went up only 2.6 per cent. Consequently profits and investments in plant
and equipment exceeded wages by vast amounts. Industries most favorably
benefited included chemicals and allied products, petroleum and coal
products, and motor vehicle equipment. The new technology was cited as
increasing productive output while lessening the need for labor, thus
causing more unemployment and adding to the problem.
In housing, 9.3 million units were judged to be below normal
requirements. These charts showed an intimate relationship between slums
and disease, crime, accidents and fires. It was estimated that the
housing shortage and unemployment could be relieved by an increase in
construction of 37.8 per cent by 1966.
A 4.2 billion dollar average deficiency in federal outlays for goods
and services between 1953 and 1963 was noted as adding to the chronic
rise in unemployment, in these words: "More employment and less
unemployment depend upon more demand for goods and services. The biggest
factor in demand is consumer spending, and the biggest weakness in
consumer spending today is the wage deficiency. It follows that efforts
to lift wages should have top priority in any effective economic
program."
Without inquiring into the cause that forces wages down and makes it
impossible for men who want food and clothing and housing and are
willing to work for them to do so, the conference recommended lifting
wage rates to expand consumption and catch up with productivity gains,
and launching a much larger housing program to help counteract the
elimination of jobs caused by technology and automation.
Full employment, we read, would be achieved by cutting the work week to
35 hours, while maintaining current wage rates. Wage rates, however,
must not just remain the same. The minimum wage floor should be lifted
to at least $2 an hour to bring wages up to productivity level. This, it
is claimed, would not be inflationary since it would only lessen the gap
between productivity and wages. The experts failed to see that
production would be checked by increased cost and that higher prices for
goods and spiraling land rents would squeeze wages to new lows.
While calling for a stable price level, the report notes, without
trying to explain why, that a "bad balance" between profits
and wages developed in the 1920's in a more extreme form than now, while
both wages and prices were remarkably stable. Improved technology was
evidently just able to keep up with spiraling land rents. A vigorous
effort by private builders and by the government is suggested to fill
the housing needs of middle income and lower middle income families.
Although the conference deplored the fact that "in far too many
cases, public subsidies are being used to help landowners, real estate
interests and powerful business interests with actual detriment to the
poor who live in the slums," it asks that large increases in public
outlays be made for aid to land acquisition. It is difficult to
understand how such glaring inconsistencies can pass before the eyes of
schooled observers without notice.
The ultimate need is said to be for increased rate of growth with
government outlays for goods and services sharply increased, without a
rise in production per man hour that would cut down on the number of
workers needed. In other words: the more we have and the less efficient
we are, the better off we will be.
This 72-page booklet with 36 charts and graphs proves conclusively to
this reviewer that the contributors may know their arithmetic but they
don't know fundamental economics.
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