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A Plan for Comprehensive Restructuring of How Government Raises
Its Revenue
Edward J. Dodson
[This paper presented a slightly revised version of a
proposal submitted to the President's Commission on Federal Tax Reform
in 2004. The original version was posted to the government's website
for comment]
For most of the history of the United States, the role of government
at every level was relatively modest. That changed as the United
States matured as a society; that is, as the safety valve of free land
disappeared, as the cities became heavily populated with poor
immigrants from abroad, and as decisions were made to establish a
permanent military capability. As a consequence of the Second World
War, there was no turning back. Our local, state and federal
governments now spend over $5 trillion annually. Yet, government is
not able to raise this amount of revenue via taxation and other
charged fees. Bonds are issued that pass on debt to future generations
of citizens. By the time the next U.S. President takes office, the
federal debt will reach $10 trillion and continue to climb. At an
average interest rate paid to bondholders of 5 percent, this means the
federal government must raise $500 billion annually just to service
this debt.
Clearly, the entire public revenue system of the United States puts
the economic, social and political stability of the nation at risk.
What we need is a comprehensive approach to restructuring this system
to move toward a sustained period of balanced budgets fostering full
employment without inflation. What follows is a set of changes that,
if pursued, have the promise of achieving these crucial objectives.
DISTINGUISH BETWEEN "EARNED" AND "UNEARNED"
INCOMES BY ADOPTING A GRADUATED FLAT TAX AT BOTH THE STATE AND FEDERAL
LEVELS
Well over half of all households in the United States receive little
or no income from passive sources, such as the ownership of stocks,
bonds, mutual funds, money market funds, or investment properties. Our
income tax system is neither progressive nor simple to comply with.
Moving to a graduated flat tax would solve both problems. This
approach, with higher rates imposed on higher ranges of income, could
easily be adopted by the states as well. The structure proposed is
roughly as follows:
The "graduated flat tax" would begin to tax
individual incomes above the national (or state) median. Above this
amount, increasing rates would be applied to higher ranges of income
up to whatever maximum is required to achieve a balanced budget.
Assume, for example, a national median of $50,000. Incomes greater
than $50,000 up to $100,000 could be taxed at 5%; greater than
$100,000 up to $250,000 at 10%; greater than $250,000 up to $500,000
at 15%; greater than $500,000 up to $1 million at 20%; greater than
$1 million up to $5 million at 25%; and so on. These rates and
ranges would be reviewed annually and adjusted to meet budgetary
requirements. The tax rates adopted by state governments would be
proportionately lower based on the state budgetary requirements.
INHERITED WEALTH
Recent data indicates that just 300,000 U.S. citizens collectively
received as much income at the bottom 150 million. Much of this wealth
comes from inheritance and/or income generated by passive investment
of inherited financial resources. Under state and federal estate tax
structures, there is no distinction made between income flows earned
by investment in job-creating capital goods or from unearned
rent-seeking investments.
Opponents of the estate tax have persistently tried to make the case
that such taxes result in the dismantling of the nation's family-owned
farms. While the historical evidence reveals that inflated land prices
and excessive debt drive families from farming, there is no validity
to the charge that estate taxation is a factor. A recent report by the
Center for Budget and Policy Priorities indicates that only 65 farms
nationwide faced any estate tax at all because of the current level of
tax exemption.
Also worth noting is that half of those on the Forbes 400 list of
wealthiest individuals inherited the businesses they manage or
inherited substantial wealth. Out of 121 million U.S. households, only
around 9 million have a net worth above $1 million. The median net
worth of all households is only around $60,000. Thus, a federal estate
tax that exempts even the first $1 million in value would be highly
progressive.
REPLACEMENT OF U.S. GOVERNMENT BONDS WITH FULLY AMORTIZING BONDS
In conjunction with the above restructuring of the Federal income
tax, the national debt can be significantly reduced over time by
replacing maturing bonds with fully amortizing bonds (i.e., bonds that
repay both interest and principal to bondholders). The amount required
to service this debt would be included in a requirement for a balanced
budget.
EMPOWER COMMUNITIES TO MOVE TO A LAND-ONLY PROPERTY TAX BASE
Land values are societally-created by aggregate pubic and private
investment. A long line of economists and their predecessor political
economists have argued the case for public collection of location rent
as a (or even, "the") primary source of public revenue. The
specifics include:
- To ensure property assessments are kept current and equitable
throughout each state, the responsibility for assessment should
be taken over by a state agency. Assessments by county agencies
and/or local assessors are almost everywhere influenced by
political interests or are simply never updated. The worst cases
involve failure to reassess undeveloped or underutilized land
parcels based on current market values, leading to long-term
holding of land off the market for speculative gain.
- Gradually exempt property improvements from the tax base, so
that at the end of, say, 7-10 years, all revenue raised by
taxing real estate would come from the taxation of assessed land
values only. This change may seem drastic but is economically
very sound (rewarding property owners for developing land to its
highest and best use and, by greatly reducing the financial
rewards for speculating in land, result in the gradual lowering
of land prices.
- To address concerns about displacement of long-term residents
due to rising property taxes, allow homeowners to apply to have
their annual tax payment capped based on some affordability
formula. The unpaid amount would accrue as a lien against the
property (at a modest rate of interest) to be paid at time of
resale or transfer of ownership.
AND, FINALLY, WHAT ABOUT PUBLIC FUNDING FOR EDUCATION?
I would also recommend that the public funding of education be paid
for by state government. As the system exists today, many higher
income households with children in the public school system are
subsidized by households with much lower incomes and no children. The
way to address this inequity is to institute a needs-based tuition
voucher system. Low income households with children would receive
vouchers sufficient to cover their childrens' educational expenses,
with the amount of voucher decreasing with rising household incomes.
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