I was born July 31, 1912, in Brooklyn, N.Y., the fourth and last
child and first son of Sarah Ethel (Landau) and Jeno Saul Friedman. My
parents were born in Carpatho-Ruthenia (then a province of
Austria-Hungary; later, part of inter-war Czechoslovakia, and,
currently, of the Soviet Union). They emigrated to the U.S. in their
teens, meeting in New York. When I was a year old, my parents moved to
Rahway, N.J., a small town about 20 miles from New York City. There,
my mother ran a small retail "dry goods" store, while my
father engaged in a succession of mostly unsuccessful "jobbing"
ventures. The family income was small and highly uncertain; financial
crisis was a constant companion. Yet there was always enough to eat,
and the family atmosphere was warm and supportive.
Along with my sisters, I attended public elementary and
secondary schools, graduating from Rahway High School in 1928, just
before my 16th birthday. My father died during my senior year in high
school, leaving my mother plus two older sisters to support the
family. Nonetheless, it was taken for granted that I would attend
college, though, also, that I would have to finance myself.
I was awarded a competitive scholarship to Rutgers University
(then a relatively small and predominantly private university
receiving limited financial assistance from the State of New Jersey,
mostly in the form of such scholarship awards). I was graduated from
Rutgers in 1932, financing the rest of my college expenses by the
usual mixture of waiting on tables, clerking in a retail store,
occasional entrepreneurial ventures, and summer earnings. Initially, I
specialized in mathematics, intending to become an actuary, and went
so far as to take actuarial examinations, passing several but also
failing several. Shortly, however, I became interested in economics,
and eventually ended with the equivalent of a major in both fields.
In economics, I had the good fortune to be exposed to two
remarkable men: Arthur F. Burns, then teaching at Rutgers while
completing his doctoral dissertation for Columbia; and Homer Jones,
teaching between spells of graduate work at the University of Chicago.
Arthur Burns shaped my understanding of economic research, introduced
me to the highest scientific standards, and became a guiding influence
on my subsequent career. Homer Jones introduced me to rigorous
economic theory, made economics exciting and relevant, and encouraged
me to go on to graduate work. On his recommendation, the Chicago
Economics Department offered me a tuition scholarship. As it happened,
I was also offered a scholarship by Brown University in Applied
Mathematics, but, by that time, I had definitely transferred my
primary allegiance to economics. Arthur Burns and Homer Jones remain
today among my closest and most valued friends.
Though 1932-33, my first year at Chicago, was, financially, my
most difficult year; intellectually, it opened new worlds. Jacob
Viner, Frank Knight, Henry Schultz, Lloyd Mints, Henry Simons and,
equally important, a brilliant group of graduate students from all
over the world exposed me to a cosmopolitan and vibrant intellectual
atmosphere of a kind that I had never dreamed existed. I have never
recovered.
Personally, the most important event of that year was meeting a
shy, withdrawn, lovely, and extremely bright fellow economics student,
Rose Director. We were married six years later, when our depression
fears of where our livelihood would come from had been dissipated,
and, in the words of the fairy tale, have lived happily ever after.
Rose has been an active partner in all my professional work since that
time.
Thanks to Henry Schultz's friendship with Harold Hotelling, I
was offered an attractive fellowship at Columbia for the next year.
The year at Columbia widened my horizons still further. Harold
Hotelling did for mathematical statistics what Jacob Viner had done
for economic theory: revealed it to be an integrated logical whole,
not a set of cook-book recipes. He also introduced me to rigorous
mathematical economics. Wesley C. Mitchell, John M. Clark and others
exposed me to an institutional and empirical approach and a view of
economic theory that differed sharply from the Chicago view. Here,
too, an exceptional group of fellow students were the most effective
teachers.
After the year at Columbia, I returned to Chicago, spending a
year as research assistant to Henry Schultz who was then completing
his classic, The Theory and Measurement of Demand. Equally
important, I formed a lifelong friendship with two fellow students,
George J. Stigler and W. Allen Wallis.
Allen went first to New Deal Washington. Largely through his
efforts, I followed in the summer of 1935, working at the National
Resources Committee on the design of a large consumer budget study
then under way. This was one of the two principal components of my
later Theory of the Consumption Function.
The other came from my next job--at the
National Bureau of Economic Research,
where I went in the fall of 1937 to assist Simon Kuznets in his
studies of professional income. The end result was our jointly
published Incomes from Independent Professional Practice,
which also served as my doctoral dissertation at Columbia. That book
was finished by 1940, but its publication was delayed until after the
war because of controversy among some Bureau directors about our
conclusion that the medical profession's monopoly powers had raised
substantially the incomes of physicians relative to that of dentists.
More important, scientifically, that book introduced the concepts of
permanent and transitory income.
The catalyst in combining my earlier consumption work with the
income analysis in professional incomes into the permanent income
hypothesis was a series of fireside conversations at our summer
cottage in New Hampshire with my wife and two of our friends, Dorothy
S. Brady and Margaret Reid, all of whom were at the time working on
consumption.
I spent 1941 to 1943 at the
U.S. Treasury Department,
working on wartime tax policy, and 1943-45 at Columbia University in a
group headed by Harold Hotelling and W. Allen Wallis, working as a
mathematical statistician on problems of weapon design, military
tactics, and metallurgical experiments. My capacity as a mathematical
statistician undoubtedly reached its zenith on V. E. Day, 1945.
In 1945, I joined George Stigler at the University of Minnesota,
from which he had been on leave. After one year there, I accepted an
offer from the University of Chicago to teach economic theory, a
position opened up by Jacob Viner's departure for Princeton. Chicago
has been my intellectual home ever since. At about the same time,
Arthur Burns, then director of research at the National Bureau,
persuaded me to rejoin the Bureau's staff and take responsibility for
their study of the role of money in the business cycle.
The combination of Chicago and the Bureau has been highly
productive. At Chicago, I established a "Workshop in Money and
Banking". which has enabled our monetary studies to be a
cumulative body of work to which many have contributed, rather than a
one-man project. I have been fortunate in its participants, who
include, I am proud to say, a large fraction of all the leading
contributors to the revival in monetary studies that has been such a
striking development in our science in the past two decades. At the
Bureau, I was supported by Anna J. Schwartz, who brought an economic
historian's skill, and an incredible capacity for painstaking
attention to detail, to supplement my theoretical propensities. Our
work on monetary history and statistics has been enriched and
supplemented by both the empirical studies and the theoretical
developments that have grown out of the Chicago Workshop.
In the fall of 1950, I spent a quarter in Paris as a consultant
to the U.S. governmental agency administering the Marshall Plan. My
major assignment was to study the Schuman Plan, the precursor of the
common market. This was the origin of my interest in floating exchange
rates, since I concluded that a common market would inevitably founder
without floating exchange rates. My essay, The Case for Flexible
Exchange Rates, was one product.
During the academic year 1953-54, I was a Fulbright Visiting
Professor at Gonville & Caius College, Cambridge University.
Because my liberal policy views were "extreme" by any
Cambridge standards, I was acceptable to, and able greatly to profit
from, both groups into which Cambridge economics was tragically and
very deeply divided: D. H. Robertson and the "anti-Keynesians";
Joan Robinson, Richard Kahn and the Keynesian majority.
Beginning in the early 1960s, I was increasingly drawn into the
public arena, serving in 1964 as an economic adviser to Senator
Goldwater in his unsuccessful quest for the presidency, and, in 1968,
as one of a committee of economic advisers during Richard Nixon's
successful quest. In 1966, I began to write a triweekly column on
current affairs for Newsweek magazine, alternating with Paul Samuelson
and Henry Wallich. However, these public activities have remained a
minor avocation--I have consistently refused offers of full-time
positions in Washington. My primary interest continues to be my
scientific work.
In 1977, I retire from active teaching at the University of
Chicago, though retaining a link with the Department and its research
activities. Thereafter, I shall continue to spend spring and summer
months at our second home in Vermont, where I have ready access to the
library at Dartmouth College - and autumn and winter months as a
Senior Research Fellow at the Hoover lnstitution of Stanford
University.
From Nobel Lectures , Economic Sciences
1969-1980.