.
| Economics
in Support of Environmentalism |
| [A paper presented at
Community Stewardship of Environmental Resources, a program
sponsored by the Community Regional and Environmental Studies
Program, Bard College, Annandale-on-Hudson, NY, 24 October 1994] |
"Economics in support of environmentalism" - is
that an oxymoron? There are economists who put down environmentalists
as unwelcome intruders in social policy; there are environmentalists
who file economists under "The Great Satan." Some economists
deserve it. I will show how these differences arise, and how we may
compose them.
I. Worthy goals often conflict with each
other
A. Corn vs. Barley
Growing barley is a worthy goal (especially if you enjoy a little
beer). So is growing corn. It would be great to raise as much of each
as anyone wants, but the Earth has its limits. A choice and a decision
are required. People invented (or stumbled into) the discipline of
economics to help with such hard choices, and to console ourselves
that we are doing the right thing. The hardest choices are those
regarding land use, because there is just so much. We can build more
houses, cars, and boats, write more music and drama, spawn and educate
more people, but we cannot make another Hudson Valley.
Barley grows on cheap land, and the demand is limited, so the best
barley land is used for growing corn. Economics reconciles the
competing demands and rationalizes the outcome. It defines the "highest
and best use" of land as that yielding the highest net gain, the
excess of revenues over costs. Economists include non-cash "service
flows" among "revenues," although they bear watching:
sometimes they forget. Thus, economics shows how the market sorts and
arranges land uses, giving us a corn belt, a wheat belt, and a cotton
belt. Economists pride themselves on this achievement. (Some preen
themselves too much, as we will see, and pride goeth before a fall.)
By the same logic, irrigated crops take land from dry-farmed crops;
orchards take land from irrigated row crops; housing takes land from
orchards and groves; commerce takes land from housing.
Sometimes the rich take land from the poor, provoking sympathy,
strong rhetoric, and occasionally effective rear-guard resistance to
such changes. Actually, a well-oiled market is often quite democratic.
People of moderate income, by crowding, can outcompete those of high
income for the same land, as when a Sears or Wal-mart takes the best
commercial sites from a Nordstroms or Broadway; or when an old estate
is subdivided into five lots per acre. This, too, provokes negative
rhetoric, but developers know how to make hay out of this, and
mincemeat of their opposition. At this point developers become
populists and accuse preservationists and environmentalists of
snobbery and elitism. We need an answer for that one if
environmentalists are going to command enough popular support to win,
and hold the gains. Of this, more later.
Other worthy goals that conflict are open space and water
conservation. A major problem in an arid land is that much wide open
space guzzles up water. Conserving open space and conserving water
conflict directly. Green grass uses more water per acre than almost
any farm crop except rice (and rice returns part of it downstream). In
cities most water is used not for swimming pools or toilets or washing
machines, but for sprinkling lawns. Cemeteries, golf courses,
horse-pastures, parks, freeway banks, and the spacious tax-exempt
grounds of institutions are the greatest water junkies outside of
farming itself, which of course takes much more than all cities.
Something has to give. Thus far it has been wetlands that gave. Once,
perhaps, we had too much wetland, but that was long ago. We cannot
accommodate all those uses, and save wetlands too, just by having
restaurants stop serving water, or putting bricks in toilet tanks.
Those are just token or "Goo-Goo" measures for parlor
reformers; they distract us from real problems, and substitute for
real solutions. What is the highest and best use of water? Wetlands,
maybe; more golf courses, maybe not. But we need a rule to gauge "highest
and best use." Is it the market? Read on.
B. New rules
Some of the losers in the market game are not willing to grin and
bear it. Instead, they write new rules; they want to play a different
game. Soilsmen did this long since. They like to classify land and
rank it by its potentiality for growing crops. Farming is - to them -
the ultimate value, so it is the highest and best use: cities may have
what's left over. It is perhaps poetic justice that habitat-savers are
now doing the same thing to farmers. They conceive highest use as that
which saves endangered species: soils and farming may be damned, right
along with housing, commerce, transportation, industry, storage, water
supply, waste disposal, fire control, education, religion, mining,
government, national defense, recreation, and whatever else needs
land. All human activities, and survival itself, need land, so that
list is a long one. Each constituent of the other uses becomes an
enemy.
C. Unresolved conflicts
Both Soilsmen and habitatspersons have a point, we will see, but they
have a fatal weakness. Neither has a system that composes conflict
with other worthy goals, including each others'. As to cities, both
soilsmen and habitat-savers would direct cities away from low-cost,
high-productivity land to the high-cost leftover lands. They would not
make this an end in itself, of course, but it is the necessary
by-product of downgrading urban usage in the competition for land.
Thus, to restore citriculture and habitat in what is now L.A. we
would move the city folks to hazard-prone floodplains, steep slopes
subject to fire and erosion, quake-prone fault lines and liquefiable
soils, etc. We would also move them away from the center, imposing
longer commutes, greater auto-dependency, longer utility lines, longer
hauls to dispose of solid wastes, more air to protect, more aquifer
surface to protect, more land to protect from flooding, etc.
D. Danger of isolation through overkill
Sometimes preservationism, like any good cause given power, runs
completely amok and makes itself ridiculous. For example, in Downey,
California, the Los Angeles Conservancy and the National Register of
Historic Places are fighting hard to save - I am not making this up -
a McDonald's drive-in, complete with neon sign! They are serious!
Governor Wilson weighed in with this outburst of California pride: "The
modern history of McDonald's will be as important to the cultural
history of our nation as the invention of Coca Cola." (That
comparison seems apt enough.) "Preserve for posterity the home of
McDonald's golden arches!"
In Victoria, B.C., the University of Victoria bars people from 2-3
acres of its tax-free campus to preserve habitat for its nesting
skylarks, an endangered species. Never mind that they are an import
from England, like starlings: now they are being "preserved"
to keep things natural. Likewise, a certain residence on a steep slope
in the arid Malibu Hills contains an artificial pond, filled with
pumped water, but adorned with reeds "to keep it natural."
Both soilsmen and habitat-persons will become isolated and
ineffective unless they forswear extremism, and modify their new rules
to accommodate other worthy goals with other constituencies. Until
then, they will appear to others to be single-valued ideologues,
fundamentalists with siege mentalities. To succeed they - we - must
learn to lead larger alliances by offering more complete philosophies
and guidelines for policy.
II. The Dereliction of Economists
There is another kind of fundamentalist, the private property kind.
The economics profession (my tribe) has, in recent years, largely
abdicated its proper role as an arbitrator and gone over mainly to the
side of private-property extremism. This is the essential meaning of "Neo-classical
Economics," which is the idiom of most discourse in the field
today, both in business and in the profession.
How did economics get so twisted? Don't blame Adam Smith, or David
Ricardo, or John Stuart Mill, or John E. Cairnes, or Knut Wicksell, or
Philip Wicksteed, sterling 19th Century writers. Rather, blame J.B.
Clark, Karl Marx, Richard T. Ely, Alvin Johnson, Frank Fetter, Frank
Knight, George Stigler, and a host of lesser figures who gradually
warped economics into its present form. How did they do it?
A. Defining away land
They wiped out land, resources, nature, and the environment as a
separate class for analysis. In official Neo-classical doctrine, the
world is an infinite reservoir of raw land and resources. Raw land has
no value until man does two things:
1. Man subjects land to private tenure. The very act of privatizing
land gives it value it lacked before. Land without an owner has no
value - take that, Aldo Leopold! You will find this in J.B. Clark,
1886, The Philosophy of Wealth. Clark points out that wealth is
created "from the mere appropriation of limited natural gifts ..."
(p.10). The atmosphere as a whole, showers or breezes, "minister
transiently to whomsoever they will, and, in the long run, with
impartiality." Therefore they are not wealth. Those who
appropriate them create wealth by so doing. The essential attribute of
wealth is "appropriability," to create which "the
rights of property must be recognized and enforced, .... Whoever
makes, interprets, or enforces law produces wealth." It follows
that those who pollute the common air, or anything held in common, are
not damaging anything of value, since it belongs to no one.
Clark writes of "the essential wealth-constituting attribute of
appropriability." He goes on in that vein: those who seize land
and exclude others thereby produce its value. Clark founded
Neo-classical economics, and is emulated closely by the "New
Resource Economists" of today.
2. Man improves the raw land, pumping value into it. After that it is
just like any man-made capital. Raw land has no value: God contributed
nothing. Consistently with this worldview, merely eyeing the General
Sherman redwood tree adds nothing to GNP, but cutting it down would
add a lot. Eyeing it would only raise GNP if you had to pay for it, or
had to drive a long way to get there, and bought a kewpie doll while
you were there. Likewise, commuting 80 miles a day raises GNP, while
finding a homesite near work lowers it.
B. Private property: from means to end
In a proper view of things, I submit, private property is a means to
an end. It is not an end in itself; it needs a functional rationale.
The end is to get land put to the best use. All the private land in
the world was originally granted by some sovereign public person or
body, mainly for that purpose, not as a welfare entitlement.
Landowners and their lawyers have slyly, over time, turned the means
into an end, a fetish they endow with "sanctity." This is a
term they borrowed from absolutist medieval theology. "Sanctity"
means the quality or state of being holy or sacred, hence inviolable.
It means property may not be challenged, or even questioned. It has
become an end in itself, its own voucher. You're not even supposed to
think about it, it is above thought. Taboo!
Neoclassical economics, historically, marked the final, total
surrender of the profession to this fetish. The modern economist's
view runs something like this: "I pledge allegiance to the 14th
Amendment, and to the overinterpretation of private landowner
supremacy for which it has come to stand." It is ironic to recall
that Radical Republicans passed that Amendment, at a time when a "Radical
Republican" was one who favored freeing the slaves. The 14th
Amendment was designed to protect the rights of freedmen. As
interpreted now, the 14th Amendment means that The Emancipation
Proclamation itself was unconstitutional! Fortunately, no one has
brought that case - yet.
The Neo-classical economists' view of their proper role is rather
like that in The Realtor's Oath, which includes a vow "To protect
the individual right of real estate ownership." The word "individual"
is construed broadly to include corporations, estates, trusts,
anonymous offshore funds, schools, government agencies, institutions,
partnerships, cooperatives, the Duke of Westminster, the Sultan of
Brunei, the Medellin Cartel, Saddam Hussein, congregations,
Archbishops, families (including criminal families) and so on, but "individual"
sounds more all-American and subsumes them all. This is a potent chant
that stirs people to extremes of self-righteousness and siege
mentality when challenged.
The resemblance between Neo-classical economics and the Realtor's
Oath is easier to understand when you learn that Professor Richard T.
Ely, founder of the modern discipline of Land Economics, was heavily
subsidized by the National Association of Real Estate Boards, the
utilities, the major landowning railroads, and others of like mind and
property interests.
When it comes to violating property rights, air pollution today is
perhaps the greatest invader and confiscator of property. Where do
economists stand? Once a few of them tried to say, following A.C.
Pigou, "let the polluter pay," and in parts of Europe they
still do. In our modern backward thinking here at home, however, it's
not the polluter who is invading the property of others, nor the human
rights of those not owning property. Rather, when you tell them to
stop, the government is invading their rights. The wage-earning
taxpayers must pay them to stop, else you are violating both the 14th
Amendment and the "Coase Theorem," a rationalization for
polluting now dearly beloved by Neo-classical economists.
C. Leapfrogging, floating value, and compensation
The environmental damage from those attitudes might not be so bad
were it not for leapfrogging, urban disintegration, and floating
value. Leapfrogging is when developers jump over the next eligible
lands for urban expansion, and build farther out, here and there. This
has been a problem in expanding economies ever since cities emerged
from within their ancient walls and stockades, but in our times and
our country it has gone to unprecedented extremes, with subsidized
superhighways and universal auto ownership and truck shipping.
Alfred Gobar, savvy real estate consultant from Placentia, has
recorded the amount of land actually used by city and suburban
dwellers for all purposes. From this, he calculates that the entire
U.S. population could live in the state of Missouri (68,965 square
miles). That would be at a density of 3625 people per square mile, or
5.67 per acre. That is 7683 square feet per person. On a football
gridiron, this is the area from the goal to the 16-yard line.
He is not being stingy with land, at 3625 persons per square mile.
The population density of Washington, D.C., is 10,000 per square mile,
with a 10-story height limit, with vast areas in parks, wide baroque
avenues and vistas, several campuses, and public buildings and
grounds. This is also the density of Whitefish Bay, Wisconsin, a
well-preserved upper-income residential suburb of Milwaukee, with
generous beaches and parks, tree-lined streets, detached dwellings,
retailing, and a little industry. San Francisco, renowned for its
liveability, has 15,000 per square mile. More than half the land is in
non-residential uses: vast parks, golf courses, huge military/naval
bases, water surface, industry, a huge regional CBD, etc., so the
actual residential density is over 30,000 per square mile.
On Manhattan's upper East Side they pile up at over 100,000 per
square mile. They do not crowd like this out of desperation, either.
You may think of rats in cages, but some of the world's wealthiest
people pay more than we could dream about to live that way. They'll
pay over a million dollars for less than a little patch of ground: all
they get is a stratum of space about 12 feet high on the umpteenth
floor over a little patch of ground they share with many others. They
could afford to live anywhere: they choose Manhattan, they actually
like it there!
Take 10,000 per square mile as a reference figure, because it is easy
to calculate with, and because it works in practice, as noted. You may
observe and experience it. At that density, 250 million Americans
would require 25,000 square miles, the land in a circle with radius of
89 miles, no more. That gives a notion of how little land is actually
demanded for full urban use. It is 9.4% as big as Texas, 4.2% as big
as Alaska, and 7/10 of 1% of the area of the United States.
And yet, the urban price influence of Los Angeles extends over 89
miles east-south-east clear to Temecula and Murrieta and beyond, at
which point, however, it meets demand pushing north from San Diego.
Urban valuation fever thus affects much more land than can ever
actually be developed for urban use. Regardless, most owners come to
imagine they might cash in at a high price, with high zoning, at their
own convenience, with public services supplied by "the public,"
meaning other taxpayers. This is the meaning of "floating value."
If their land is downzoned for farming, open space, or habitat, they
regard it as a "taking," and plead the 14th Amendment. Once
we buy into the Sanctity (Holiness, Sacredness) of private property,
we owe them. If we think of the public's buying large quantities of it
to preserve habitat or open space, the price is already high above its
aggregate value, and the new demand will push the price higher yet.
Here is a case showing how this works. The Los Angeles Metropolitan
Transit Authority (MTA) needed the old Union Station, northeast of
downtown in a run-down neighborhood, as the centerpiece of its new,
integrated mass transit system. With the decline of interurban
passenger rail traffic, the old station was unused. The owners, mainly
Southern Pacific, asked more than MTA offered, so MTA invoked its
power of eminent domain and condemned the land. The case went to
judgement, and in 1984 the court awarded SP an amount about twice the
going price for land in the area. The court's reason was that the
coming of mass transit would raise values around the new central
station, and SP should be paid as much as neighboring landowners would
be able to get after the station was built.
Thus, land originally granted to SP to help subsidize mass transit
was used instead to obstruct and penalize mass transit. Private
property had become an end in itself, Holy and Sacred, a welfare
entitlement, rather than a means to an end. MTA (the taxpayers) had to
pay a price for land based on the unearned increment that its own
construction and operation was expected to create in the future.
Later, MTA was to stint on subway construction, resulting in
subsidence on Hollywood Boulevard, but there was no stinting on paying
off SP for doing nothing: the award came to $84.7 millions. This is
how the 14th Amendment works in practice, making private property an
end, sanctified for its own sake, rather than a means to a higher end.
It makes landowners the spoiled children of the national family,
inflating the cost of every program that entails acquiring land. It
means there is no chance that the public, whether through government
or the Nature Conservancy, can preserve more than token areas of
habitat by buying it: it would bankrupt us.
D. Siege mentalities
The result of sprawl and floating value and the Sanctity of Private
Property and the 14th Amendment (as construed) is to put
conservationists-environmentalists-ecologists under siege. Here is a
sharp, clear statement of it from Vivian Null, San Bernardino Audubon
Society.
"Once humans lived in small groups
surrounded by expanses of wilderness. Today, human civilization has
pushed our natural world into ever smaller, fragmented pockets of
deteriorating habitat. As a result, we are living in an age of mass
extinction."
I sympathize with the view expressed, and understand what outrages
provoked it. When it comes to solutions, however, we have a problem.
Being under siege fosters a siege mentality. "Science," for
all its virtues, can also be an ideology. To the layman, self-styled "hard"
Scientists can seem more hardheaded and hardball than scientific. They
can seem single-valued, self-righteous, imperious, and - dare I say
it? - even a bit arrogant at times. At the same time landowners also
feel under siege. You may observe how developers rage about having
their land set aside for the likes of Stephens Kangaroo Rats,
Three-toed Lizards, and California Gnatcatchers. The ideology of
Science and the ideology of Private Property have become clashing
absolutes, no more able to come to terms than Kach Movement militants
can compromise with Islamic Fundamentalists. What can we do? It helps
to read some history of the successful Conservation Movement of the
Progressive Era.
III. Gifford Pinchot's Winning Formula
A. Defining "Conservation"
Gifford Pinchot was a great leader of the Conservation Movement. He
defined his central term, conservation, as "The greatest good for
the greatest number for the longest time." Caviling theorists
sometimes pick at that famous phrase, since you cannot maximize three
things at the same time, but that is unfair, since he was not being
technical. He was making a speech, and obviously what he meant was
that those three elements should all be considered, and none was to be
slighted.
Notice especially the middle clause, for the greatest number.
Conservation was not just for landowners, or any other elite.
Conservation was part of the Progressive Movement, which had sprung
from the Populist Movement. Social equity was at its core. Here is
some more of Pinchot's speech (to the 1st National Conservation
Congress, 1909):
... the third principle of conservation. It
is this: the natural resources must be developed and preserved for the
benefit of the many and not merely for the profit of a few. ... public
action for public benefit has ... a much larger part to play than was
the case ... before certain constitutional arrangements ... had given
so tremendously strong a position to vested rights and property in
general. ... by reason of the 14th Amendment to The Constitution,
property rights in the U.S. occupy a stronger position than in any
other country in the civilized world. ... it becomes then a matter of
multiplied importance, ... when property rights once granted are so
strongly entrenched, that they shall be granted only under such
conditions as that the people shall get their fair share of the
benefit which comes from the development of the country which belongs
to us all. The time to do that is now.
You modern habitat-savers, your foes score points against you by
calling you "elitists." Sure enough, you do appear a bit
above, and therefore outside the mainstream, especially when you talk
down to people from the eminence of "Science." Pinchot saw
that brick coming and dodged it before it was even thrown. He teamed
up with the populists; he spoke as a man for the people, even if not
quite of them. Can you say the same? Is there a place in your plans,
and your hearts, for Joe Sixpack?
Here is a list that the Southern California Association of
Governments (SCAG) has published from its recent public opinion survey
of public issues. Preserving habitat and endangered species are not
even among the top 17 priorities listed by citizens. Neither are
private property rights. Their top three concerns are crime,
education, and jobs. Politicians have preempted the crime issue, but
no one is doing a thing this year for education and jobs. Take a leaf
from the successful Gifford Pinchot: team up with some populists. Move
into the vacuum left behind the gale of anti-crime oratory. No one is
serving the constituency for education and jobs.
Other populist issues high on the SCAG list are homelessness,
affordable housing, job training, and child care.
B. Finding common ground
On what basis shall habitat-savers identify with median Americans? We
share a problem: we are all victims of private property rights carried
to extremes. Abraham Lincoln, the original Radical Republican, once
spoke to the effect that whenever landless people cannot find work and
shelter, then the rights of private property have been carried too far
and must be curbed. We have seen what Gifford Pinchot said.
"... natural resources must be
developed and preserved for the benefit of the many and not merely for
the profit of a few. ... the people shall get their fair share of the
benefit which comes from the development of the country WHICH BELONGS
TO US ALL."
Belongs to us all? Was Pinchot a Communist? Not likely: he was a
Republican, an active political one, twice Governor of Pennsylvania.
We have too little time together to develop that fully, but here are
some ideas. First, environmentalists might rethink what we mean by "open
space." To Pinchot, "open" meant the space had public
access. Today it often means the reverse: golf courses, duck clubs,
sacred Indian lands, private beaches, cemeteries, farmlands, vacant
speculative holdings, unpoliced parks taken over by gangs, protected
and posted habitat, water from which swimmers are excluded for power
boats, rights-of-way closed to hikers, University experimental plots,
and so on. In this sense, there is more open land in downtown
Manhattan than in many of our rural and sylvan areas. Many a water
reservoir is open to beavers, ducks and geese, who routinely powder
their noses there, but not to humans who seldom do, and can be trained
not to.
To get more support for habitat, find ways to open it to people,
putting more funds and effort into behavioral controls if necessary.
In Pinchot's day, people spoke unblushingly of "character
training," and practiced it. Pinchot himself said, "the
training of our people in citizenship is as germane to it
(conservation) as the productiveness of the earth." Wilderness
clubs preached and taught responsible behavior in the wilds. The Boy
Scouts taught it, churches taught it, schools taught it, forest
rangers taught it, camp counselors taught it, community leaders taught
it: you heard it all around, and it did help shape your character. It
was a great community effort, enlisting broad support and conviction.
Then, in that less mobile, less commercialized, more communitarian
age, social control over public behavior came naturally. We came to
take it for granted, until it silently slipped away. Today it may take
more conscious effort, but it was done then, it can be done now.
Second, go with the flow for economy in government. For most of our
lives now, we have looked to big government to resolve disputes by
buying out both parties. We would have government pay top dollar for
land, if needed, and then hire scientists to manage it for habitat.
Thus, both sides dream of cutting into line at the government trough:
but the trough is empty, and the taxpaying public is in a foul mood.
Rather, let's look for ways to cut spending by curbing subsidies to
urban sprawl. I shall return with particulars.
IV. Pinchot on "Development"
Gifford Pinchot, the father of Conservation, was not against
developing land. In his own words:
"
The first principle of conservation is
development, the use of the natural resources now existing ... for the
benefit of the people who live here now. There may be just as much
waste in neglecting the development and use of certain natural
resources as there is in their destruction by waste. ... Conservation,
then, stands emphatically for the use of substitutes for all the
exhaustible natural resources, ... (water power and water
transportation are his examples). ... The development of our natural
resources and the fullest use of them for the present generation is
the first duty of this generation. ...
In the second place conservation stands for the prevention of waste.
... "
So Pinchot was against waste, so what? Who isn't? This could be just
a banality, but he gives it a new turn. To him, waste means failing to
use renewable resources. His example was hydropower, which he would
substitute for coal and oil. That is not such a good example today,
when we cherish our few remaining wild rivers, but today urban land
makes an even better example.
"Urban land?", you may ask. "What has urban land in
common with falling water?" Economists (who are not all bad)
classify urban land as a "flow resource." They liken it to
flowing water because its services perish with time, whether used or
not, and we are trapped in the one-way flow of time. Likewise, urban
land is not depleted by use. It is an even better example of a "flow
resource" than flowing water itself, because, as we are so
conscious today, "unharnessed" flowing water may have other
downstream uses. Even in wasting out through the Golden Gate, it may
repel salinity. The unreaped harvests of idle land, however, flow down
the river and out the gates of time like lost loves dimming, and
golden moments we let slip away beyond recall.
What is this "service" of urban land, that we should be
mindful of it? For one thing, using central urban land conserves all
the hydrocarbons and other resources otherwise needed to traverse it.
Compact urban settlement is a direct substitute for oil, with all that
implies - and it implies a great deal, which I will leave you to fill
in.
Second, using good central land saves all the costs of settling on
other land - including the cost of taking more of the shrinking
habitat from endangered species. Therefore, habitat-savers should
emulate Pinchot and favor development in the right places, the better
to oppose it in the wrong places. This is the great lost secret of
conservation our times have forgot. You cannot beat development by
opposing it everywhere it pops up. People need land for all kinds of
legitimate things, and they will have it. To stop urban sprawl, you
must support compact, efficient urban development, including healthy,
timely renewal of older cities, inner suburbs, and neighborhoods.
V. Urban Sprawl
We have met the enemy, and it is US (Urban Sprawl). Let's analyze
this beast, US.
A. Development is not identical with Sprawl
Many people carelessly equate urban growth and urban sprawl, but they
are not the same, not at all. Cities may grow like the posh upper East
Side of Manhattan with 100,000 per square mile, or San Francisco with
15,000, or Riverside, California with 2500, or Oklahoma City with 734.
Metropolitan regions are even more varied. We have seen that 250
million Americans could fit nicely into a small part of southern
California, were it compactly settled at moderate urban densities that
are actually found in practice, as in the upper middle class suburb of
Whitefish Bay, Wisconsin (10,000 per square mile).
Urban sprawl, which creates a psychological effect of great crowding,
is not the product of development as such, but of leapfrogging.
Leapfrogging means chaos, with development in the wrong places and
times. Infilling, on the other hand, is anti-sprawl. It is the cure
for sprawl.
B. Sprawl is not a quest for open space
A common belief is that the search of open space is the main force
behind sprawl. You may test that by observing high density,
cookie-cutter subdivisions scattered throughout the land. Within each
such development, you are living at urban densities. It is when you
get onto the freeway to commute, or shop, or take the kids to school
or the dentist, or worship, that you experience open space. You
experience it as a negative resource, an obstacle between where you
are and where you want to go.
C. Sprawl is not the product of free choice
A favorite fallacy is that sprawl results from free individual
choice. In fact, sprawl results mainly from subsidies to sprawl,
enforced through taxation and/or utility rate regulation. Thus it is
imposed, not freely chosen. The classic case, which exemplifies the
whole genus, is postal service. It costs you 29¢ to send a letter
across the street downtown, or from rural Idaho to rural Florida. The
generic name for such subsidies to sprawl is "postage-stamp
pricing" (a species of spatial cross-subsidy), which gives you
the idea.
In British Columbia, people move around a good deal by car-ferry,
because of the terrain. The Provincial Government ("The Crown
Provincial") runs the system. There are many lovely little
islands in the Straits of Georgia, between Vancouver Island and the
mainland, favored by the wealthy, the exclusive and reclusive. Being
more sybaritic than Henry D. Thoreau, and politically puissant, they
have demanded and received car-ferry service. This service costs about
$10 for every $1 in revenue. The resulting deficit is covered by
raising rates on the main plebeian line, Victoria-Vancouver.
Naturally, these cheap ferries attract new visitors to the islands,
and new demand for land there.
D. Looking for Mr. Goodbar
Here is how we get urban sprawl with leapfrogging. Remember the last
time you moved and went househunting? You saw some mouthwatering
homes, but they were not for sale. You had to find motivated sellers,
and pick from what they offered. It's the same with builders. They
scour the exurbs seeking motivated sellers. Ideally the most motivated
sellers would line up by distance from the existing city, but the
market is not ideal. Each seller is moved by his personal
circumstances, not the geographical location.
Potential builders are little concerned with the social costs they
might impose, so long as others are to bear them. Thus, they sometimes
settle for and build on steep lands (like Malibu Hills) with flammable
brush and erosion problems, on flood plains (like Victoria Woods
subdivision in Riverside), on soils subject to liquefaction in quakes
(like Northridge), in canyons and arroyos, on lands with limited
access for emergency equipment. They even build on lands without water
supply, even in arid southern California, then demand water and get
it, secure in the knowledge that Sacramento rejected a recent move to
ban development in areas with no assured water supply.
E. The public pays twice
Let's go back to those Channel Islands in British Columbia, with
subsidized car-ferries. Naturally, as I said, these cheap ferries
attract new visitors to the islands, and new demand for land there.
Developers and hopeful subdividers bid up land prices. This is not
what the old settlers had in mind: their environment is threatened,
including the habitat of endangered species. They appeal to the Crown,
which subsidizes their ferries, to help them preserve land for
habitat.
They want the government to buy some of it, paying the high prices
created by the ferry subsidy, to keep it from use by people who might
use the ferries. Thus the government would pay twice: to subsidize the
ferries, and then to retire the land at the high prices made possible
by the ferries. Failing that, they want the Crown to downzone most of
it. The landowners are not charged when the ferries raise their asking
prices, but demand compensation when downzoned.
Here, in microcosm, is the American problem with sprawl and habitat.
Multiply that ferry subsidy a thousand times, and you have the Great
American System of Public Works and Services for Private Gain. First
the public pays to bring urban demand to remote lands; now the
landowners, the spoiled children of the national family, demand to be
paid again for downzoning or selling that same land to preserve
habitat. They demand payment not to cash in on the opportunities we
just gave them free.
Thus far, it is true, the courts have let us downzone without
compensating. However, now a storm has gathered. Proposition 300, on
the ballot in Arizona, demands compensation for downzoning - it is
aimed at the Clean Water Act and the Endangered Species Act. There is
a movement in Congress to compensate for any Federal regulation that
devalues land by more than 50%. It is led by Congressman Billy Tauzin,
a Democrat from Louisiana. You can imagine what a more conservative
Congress might do. Speculative landowners may soon get everything they
demand, leaving heavy debts to which their light tax payments now
contribute very little.
F. Proactive solutions
How do we dig out from this one? I'll repeat: go with the flow of
cutting public spending by cutting down subsidies to urban sprawl.
They are a major source of the problem. We'll never win the
environmental fight until those subsidies are withdrawn.
A second proactive solution is to motivate and help the owners of
good land to sell or develop it. To help them, make infilling a
positive goal. If you put impost fees on new buildings, do so only in
outlying areas that require new public services, not on new buildings
that help renew places like South Central L.A. If you ration sewer
hookups, save them for central land with street improvements already
in place.
Those are the carrots. A good stick is also needed. We have seen how
leapfrogging results from the scattered locations of motivated
sellers. We can motivate sellers near-in, and in compact increments as
we expand spatially, by raising land taxes there. Proposition 13 makes
this difficult, but not impossible: many special assessments have the
essential motivating quality of land taxes, with a different legal
form, that exempts them from Proposition 13.
I could wax rhapsodic about the results to expect from such taxation,
but have done so elsewhere and will leave it with a word: visit
Sydney, Adelaide, Brisbane, Copenhagen, or Johannesburg, which have
made use of this principle to excellent effect.
VI. Dig deep
These are basic issues, and call for bold actions. Do not waste your
time on wimpish meliorism, or "Goo-goo" thinking. For
example:
It is said we need a land use inventory. We already have lots of
them: people have been classifying land for decades. The question is,
what shall we do with them?
It is said we need "risk ratings." These are subject to
manipulation and juggling, like benefit/cost analyses of recent ill
fame. The question is, who will control the ratings, and to what ends?
It is said we need fire models. We have fire models; they were
already chic in 1950. The question is, how to keep scattered homes out
of fire-prone areas, where they make prescribed controlled burning
nearly impossible. The question is how to keep the State and the fire
insurance industry from cross-subsidizing these homes by averaging
their risks in with others.
Rather, let us study how to emulate the model of Butchart Gardens,
near Victoria, B.C. Butchart doesn't sound like a gardener's name, and
sure enough, Mr. Butchart was a hardrock miner who attacked the earth
and left a great ugly gash in it. Ah, but Mrs. Butchart, she wanted
space for a garden, so she made one there. She rediscovered the truth
that land is not just the matter that occupies space, it is space,
always renewable and reclaimable. Now Butchart Gardens is one of the
world's great beauty spots, drawing visitors from everywhere - in the
summertime you hear every language there. Our decayed central cities,
too, may bloom again like Mrs. Butchart's garden. Let us make it our
model.
|