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Among the most masterful and insightful of 20th Century
economists, Friedrich A. von Hayek alone could have stood
shoulder-to-shoulder with his great rival, J.M. Keynes.
Trained by Wieser and Bohm-Bawerk in the Austrian tradition at
Vienna, F.A. Hayek nonetheless carved a distinct spot in the economic
pantheon - in some ways more different from the Austrian School than
that of his friend and intellectual companion, Ludwig von Mises.
After some fundamental early contributions (e.g. his 1928
article is often credited with having introduced the concept of a
fully intertemporal equilibrium), Hayek's early work was primarily in
monetary cycle theory (1929, 1931, 1939). Drawing upon the "cumulative
process" of Knut Wicksell, Hayek argued that when finance
permitted investment to be greater than savings, then both desired
investment and consumption demand cannot be met by actual output -
thus there will be "forced saving" and changing degrees of "capital
intensity" (with capital conceived in a very Austrian sense)
changing output and employment. However, forced savings are not
sustainable as capital goods demand will not be maintained if consumer
goods producers are being dried of consumption demand. Thus, there is
a contraction in output and a subsequent fall in capital intensity.
Hayek argued that this "concertina" process was the
main motor behind business cycles. Hayek presented his main treatise
on monetary cycle theory in a slim book, Prices and Production
(1931), in England and was immediately drafted by Lord Robbins to join
the L.S.E. - where he would serve as that institution's answer to
Cambridge's John Maynard Keynes who was then working on similar
issues. Keynes did not take lightly the criticisms Hayek made of his
Treatise on Money (1930), and thus Keynes and Sraffa joined
forces to bury Hayek and his cycle theory in the Economic Journal in
1932.
At the L.S.E., Hayek was instrumental in furthering its
then-novel "continental" bent and he was highly influential
on his junior colleagues (such as Hicks) and students (which included
Lerner and Kaldor). However, following the appearance of the General
Theory by J.M. Keynes in 1936, Lerner and Kaldor, like the rest of
the economics profession, were drawn away from Hayek's orbit. Kaldor's
departure was particularly stinging - since his subsequent criticisms
of the "Ricardo Effect" upon which Hayek was hanging the
remnants of a shredded cycle theory, led Hayek to reverse his argument
and then to abandon his cycle theory entirely. Hayek's attempt to work
his system out again in the Pure Theory of Capital (1941) -
envisioned as a part of a larger work - proved to be his last
substantial effort in the area.
Hayek turned in 1944 to the political arena with his Road to
Serfdom, a polemical defense of laissez-faire - the work for which
he is best known outside academia. His subsequent political activities
include the foundation of the libertarian "Mont Pelerin Society"
(also jestfully referred to as the "Friends-of-Hayek"
Society) in the 1940s. In 1935, Hayek had edited a book on the
Socialist Calcuation debate in which Mises had been engaged. In
resurrecting Barone's 1908 article, Hayek realized that the Mises
attack on the socialist position was untenable. As a result, in
several famous articles - notably, "Economics and Knowledge"
(1937) and "On the Use of Knowledge in Society" (1945) -
Hayek composed a response which advanced the "Socialist
Calculation" debate to a new level. Succinctly, he claimed,
countering Lange, that prices are not merely "rates of exchange
between goods", but rather "a mechanism for communicating
information" (Hayek, 1945).
Hayek argued that people have little knowledge of the world
beyond their immediate surroundings and this is what forces them to be
price-takers - the crucial ingredient that makes the price system
work. If, on the other hand, a particular agent's knowledge were
greater, agents would then refuse to act as price-takers but rather
make decisions in a way which would manipulate their environment to
their advantage thereby destroying the price system.
In a complex, uncertain environment, Hayek argument, agents are
not able to predict the consequences of their actions, and only this
way could the price system work. In Hayek's words, the "fatal
conceit" of the Oskar Lange and other "Socialists" in
the calculation debate was that they believed this order could be "designed"
by a planner who just gets the prices right, without realising that a
price system evolved spontaneously as a result of lack of knowledge.
The same limited knowledge which afflicts the agent's predictive power
must necessarily constrain the planner's as well. Hayek enhanced this
argument with considerations of "spontaneous order" - the
idea that a harmonious, evolving order arises from the interaction of
a decentralized, heterogeneous group of self-seeking agents with
limited knowledge. This order, he claimed, was not "designed"
nor could be "designed" by a social planner, even a very
wise one, but merely "emerged" or evolved spontaneously from
a seemingly complex network of interaction among agents with limited
knowledge.
Hayek's elaborations on this complex, evolving spontaneous order
are found in various places (e.g. 1952, 1964). Hayek continued with
his work on "evolving order", linking it with his work on
political and legal theory (e.g. 1960, 1973). In tackling the
evolution of political, social, legal and economic institutions, Hayek
is rightly conceived as one of the founding fathers of "evolutionary
economics".
In many ways, one can see how the work of the social "evolutionist"
and skeptic philosopher, David Hume was particularly influential on
Hayek. Indeed, Hayek's scholarly work on the history of economic
thought - e.g. on John Stuart Mill, Richard Cantillon and the
Bullionist Debates - often echoed his search for bedfellows in the
past, those who had resisted the "rational", calculable
worldviews and simplistic solutions ever-so-present within
intellectual circles. In his work on the philosophy of science (1952),
Hayek traces the intellectual roots of the rational-socialist
tendencies of economics to the theories of Comte and Saint-Simon in
the 19th Century. Hayek's efforts were nonetheless ignored in the
Keynesian mainstream which then dominated economics.
Finding a deaf ear in economics, he looked elsewhere. In an
apparently bizarre interlude, Hayek turned his attention to psychology
- turning out an anti-behaviorist (and Hume-drenched) tract, The
Sensory Order (1952), which fit into his "group selection"
type of evolution he had applied to his "spontaneous order"
in economics. All this led to one of his most famous works, the
Constitution of Liberty (1960) bringing all his previous work on
political theory together into one magnificent defense of "Old
Whig" political doctrine and a return attack on the
Saint-Simon-Comte collectivism. Having seen his old idea of a "commodity
reserve currency" (1943) fail to generate much interest, Hayek
turned in the 1970s to champion the cause of a "free banking
system" and the devolution of monetary control away from the
central banks and into the hands of private banks (1978). This drew
upon him the opposition of Milton Friedman and the Chicago
Monetarists.
After spending many fruitful years at the L.S.E., Hayek joined
the Committee on Social Thought (not the economics department) of the
University of Chicago in 1950.
In 1962, Hayek left for the University of Freiburg in Germany
and subsequently Salzburg, where he spent his remaining years. Hayek
shared the Nobel Prize with Gunnar Myrdal in 1974 in one of the more
controversial and surprising awards ever made (controversial because
Myrdal had called for the abolition of the Nobel prize as a result of
it having been awarded to Hayek and Friedman, and surprising for, at
that time, Hayek was virtually forgotten in the economics profession).
Interest in Hayek and his work increased after the 1974 award
(his Nobel speech being a reiteration of his Counterrevolution thesis)
and has kept on that track until today - his stock being enormously
boosted by the collapse of Communism in Eastern Europe.
Major Works of Friedrich A. Haye
- "The Monetary Policy of the United States After the
Recovery from the 1920 Crisis", 1925, ZfVS.
- "Friedrich von Wieser", 1926, JfNS.
- "Intertemporal Price Equilibrium and Movements in the
Value of Money", 1928, WWA.
- Monetary Theory and the Trade Cycle , 1929
- "The Paradox of Saving", 1929, ZfN. Prices and
Production , 1931
- "Reflections on the Pure Theory of Money of Mr. J.M.
Keynes", 1931-2, Economica.
- "A Note on the Development of the Doctrine of Forced
Saving", 1932, QJE.
- "The Present State and Immediate Prospects of the Study
of Industrial Fluctuations", 1933, in Spiethoff festschrift.
- "The Trend of Economic Thinking", 1933, Economica.
- "On Neutral Money", 1933, ??? "Carl Menger,
1840-1921", 1934, Economica.
- "The Maintenance of Capital", 1935, Economica.
- "Socialist Calculation", two articles in Hayek,
1935, editor, Collectivist Economic Planning.
- "Price Expectations, Monetary Disturbances and
Malinvestments", 1935, Nationalokonisk Tidskrift.
- "Richard Cantillon: His life and work", 1936, Revue
des Sciences Economiques.
- "Economics and Knowledge", 1937, Economica.
- "Investment that Raises the Demand for Capital",
1937, REStat.
- Profits, Interest and Investment: And other essays on the
theory of industrial fluctuations , 1939.
- "The Socialist Calculation: the competitive solution",
1940, Econometrica.
- The Pure Theory of Capital , 1941
- "The Ricardo Effect", 1942, Economica
- "The Facts of the Social Sciences", 1943, Ethics.
- "A Commodity Reserve Currency", 1943, EJ.
- The Road to Serfdom , 1944
- "The Use of Knowledge in Society", 1945, AER.
- Individualism and Economic Order , 1948
- "The Intellectuals and Socialism", 1949, U of
Chicago Law Review.
- John Stuart Mill and Harriet Taylor, 1951.
- The Counter-Revolution of Science: Studies on the abuse of
reason, 1952.
- The Sensory Order: an inquiry into the foundations of
theoretical psychology,, 1952.
- "Degrees of Explanation", 1955, British Journal for
Philosophy of Science.
- "The Dilemma of Specialization", 1956, in White,
editor, State of Social Sciences.
- The Constitution of Liberty, 1960.
- "The Non Sequitur of the Dependence Effect", 1961,
Southern EJ.
- "Rules, Perception and Intelligibility", 1962,
Proceedings of British Academy.
- "The Economy, Science and Politics", 1963.
- "The Theory of Complex Phenomena", 1964, in Bunge,
editor,The Critical Approach to Science and Philosophy.
- "Kinds of Rationalism", 1965, ESQ. "Principles
of a Liberal Social Order", 1966, Il Politico.
- "Dr. Bernard Mandeville, 1670-1733", 1966,
Proceedings of British Academy.
- "The Legal and Political Philosophy of David Hume",
1967, Il Politico.
- Studies in Philosophy, Politics and Sociology , 1967.
- "Competition as a Discovery Procedure", 1968, ???
- "The Primacy of the Abstract", 1968, ???
- "Three Elucidations of the Ricardo Effect", 1969,
JPE.
- A Tiger by the Tail, 1972. Law, Legislation and Liberty, 3
volumes, 1973-79.
- Denationalisation of Money: The argument refined, 1978. New
Studies in Philosophy, Politics, Economics and the History of Ideas,
1978.
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