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The German Inflation of 1920-23 |
| [Reprinted from The
Gargoyle, November 1959] |
In view of the fact that inflation is uppermost in the minds of the
people today, and as it appears that a special session of Congress may
have to be called to deal with the problem, it might be instructive to
have some understanding of possibly the worst inflation of modern times.
This was the one created by the German government in the early 1920's.
Prior to WWI, the Deutsche Reichsmark exchanged at the rate of 4 for
$1.00, i.e., a Mark was 25 cents. In the three years, 1920-23, it was
reduced to zero as the German Government resorted to the printing press
to solve its problems. By the end of 1923, currency circulation had
reached such astounding heights that it was 225,000,000 times that of a
year earlier! I What was the effect?
Savings were lost. As the Marks dropped in purchasing power, people
withdrew their savings. In order to give the people their money, the
banks had to sell their bonds and mortgages for whatever they could get.
Out of 23,000,000 savings accounts in existence in 1914, only two
million remained at the end of 1923, and these accounts were worthless.
Insurance and trust funds also became worthless. The bonds which the
insurance companies owned to protect the insured dropped until they were
worth only 4% of their original cost. Whatever mortgages they held that
matured were paid off in the depreciating Marks. The beneficiaries of
the insurance funds who expected to liye off them received just about
enough for one day's existence! As an example of how absurd conditions
became, the postage stamp which was required to send the claim for
insurance, cost more than the face value of many of the insurance
policies.
Naturally, the elderly who depended on their investments to pay their
living expenses suffered incredible hardship. What may surprise some
however, is to learn that many institutions, such as hospitals, were
forced to close. Everyone is aware that creditors and the aged suffer
during inflation, but few realise that many vital services which are
almost taken for granted, as hospitals, may not be able to survive. Many
young people look with indifference upon inflation on the assumption
that they can adjust to the situation. Certainly, they can do it better
than the aged, but what happens when they become sick and find few
hospitals available?
Real estate protected the individual to a small degree. While mortgages
on the property could be liquidated with depreciating Marks, the real
estate owner found himself caught in a vise. On the one hand the taxes
and maintenance costs rose to prohibitive heights, About the only thing
to be said for real estate was that at the end of the inflation, the
owner did have something left whereas the owners of bonds, mortgages and
savings deposits, had nothing.
The best hedges were common stocks in natural resource companies as
coal, lead, zinc, copper, and such industries as steel, autos and
chemicals. Apparently, though, a lot depended on management. Good
management meant the difference between survival and destruction. Small
companies with little working capital were unable to meet the speedily
rising wage and material costs and went bankrupt.
The best defense was the purchase of foreign exchange, as dollars, and
holding them abroad until the debacle was over. However, not many
Germans had enough understanding of foreign exchange to avail themselves
of this hedge.
Two lessons came out of this fiasco. First, practically nobody escaped
the effects of the inflation. This should be a warning to those who
think that because they know something about inflation they will be able
to come out of it ahead. Very few in Germany ware able to.
Second: Once more it was demonstrated that that the thrifty, those who
owned the savings deposits, insurance policies, pensions suffered the
most.
Not a very pretty picture. Will America learn before it is too late?
Time will tell.
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