.
The Time Horizon of Planned Social
Change:
Why Utopian Movements Always Promise
Amelioration in the Future |
| [Reprinted from the
American Journal of Economics and Sociology, January 1980,
pp.65-77] |
ABSTRACT. Why have worthy social reforms in general, and
Henry George's 100-year-old proposal to end land speculation and
land monopoly, in particular, taken so long to win acceptance?
The sociology of knowledge, framed by Mannheim and others,
offers fresh insight into the question. The newer concepts of
time horizon and its variants-time frame and temporal
calibration -- examined by Edward Banfield, Paid Fraisse and
others, take it further. Seen and discussed by Locke, Hobbes and
Hume without being given names, the new concepts have only
recently been singled out for closer study. Time horizon, as a
human variable, clarifies why Utopian ideas are
originally acceptable to few, and isolates factors that
determine the rate at which those ideas become realistic. Thus
it helps establish how best to speed that transition.
|
INTRODUCTION
SOCIAL PROGRESS has often trailed by many years, and in some cases
many centuries, the individual insight by which that progress was
triggered. The interval between conception of a means of social
advancement and the fulfillment of that seminal idea may be seen in
part as a waste of human opportunity.
Historic examples are numerous. The ISO-year lag between "Freeborn
John" Lilburne's first bold thrust for the freedoms of religion,
speech and press in 1637, and the period 1776-1787 in which those
ideas were worked out in the American constitutions which have so
profoundly altered society, is one of the brighter spots in history,
the interval having been as short as it was
(1).
The 450-year lag between the first compassionate pleas of Bartolome
de Las Casas against the exploitation of the natives found in the New
World, voiced initially in his Historia apologetica, and
today's continuing efforts to ensure the principle of racial equality
is scarred with such episodes as the ruthless destruction of the Incan
and Mayan civilizations, the fratricidal four years of our own Civil
War, and some aspects of colonialism.
While some interval between concept and realization is functional, if
for nothing else than the testing of the idea and the elimination of
error, it may be said that the number of years lost through social
resistance to valid ideas is in total a vast deficit for mankind.
Are these recurrent intervals irreducible? The question seems worth
examination, but with a proviso. The possibility that social reform
can be hastened effectively by coercion -- governmental authority or
edict -- has been discredited by recent history. It no longer seems an
area worth searching. The hope lies, instead, in persuasion, and any
truly effective means of reducing the time between concept and
realization will be found, if it is found at all, in an improved
understanding of the elements of social resistance.
Epistemology, insofar as it is a shared effort to define the origin,
the validity and the limits of knowledge, is a discipline which
addresses this purpose. The sociology of knowledge is a more recent
branch of inquiry in which the relationship between rational concept
and social effect is central. It has emerged in this century and has
been further denned in the past several decades (2).
The intent here is to suggest a structure in which the sociology of
knowledge may be considered in terms of other recently offered
concepts -- notably time or temporal horizon, time frame and temporal
calibration.
While its root concern is with the general question posed above, this
paper has a particular bias, and thus a particular purpose in
searching for the means of expediting worthwhile social reform. The
writer sees the 100-year interval between the concept proposed by
Henry George in his Progress and Poverty
(3) and other writings, and a
still-limited acceptance as unexplainable in terms of the validity of
the concept itself. No attempt will be made in what follows to
evaluate the concept, there being no want of people better qualified
than this writer to do so. The focus here will be instead on a
feeling, perhaps shared by others, that "we're really up against
something else" (4).
The organization of this paper is to be around a simple syllogism,
offered not as something profound, but in the interests of clarity.
The root question, in either its general (can social reform be
hastened?) or its specific (what's hobbling land value taxation) form,
is too comprehensive to be answered satisfactorily at one stroke.
There will be no effort to prove a deduction beyond dispute, but
rather to correlate a number of concepts which now have independent
standing. The simple exercise in deductive reasoning is an effort to
sketch in the studs, the joists and the rafters of a structure which
may prove a more hospitable shelter for social understanding. The
syllogism to be explored on those terms is this:
* Social reformers, whose temporal horizons are wider
than the current time frame, have found temporal discalibration a
major impediment in their efforts.
* The current advocates of land value taxation (LVT) have temporal
horizons wider than the current time frame.
* Therefore the advocates of LVT are hampered by a need for
temporal calibration.
TIME SPAN IN UNDERSTANDING
THE TERMS to be used need careful clarification.
Time (or Temporal) Horizon -- by which is meant the time span
characteristically taken into account by an individual in the process
of understanding.
While it is a relatively new term
(5), it has come into use to
designate a trait which both philosophers in their tomes and ordinary
people in their colloquial speech have long recognized. It is not
unusual to hear a person called "a man of vision," not
because that individual has either microscopic or telescopic aptitude,
but rather as a comment on his characteristic ability and willingness
to "look" into the future in the cogitative process. Such
men, though, are out of the ordinary, as Hamilton reminded us in the
Sixth Federalist:
Has it not, on the contrary,
invariably been found that momentary passions, and immediate
interests, have a more active and imperious control over human
conduct than general or remote considerations of policy, utility or
justice (6).
The idea will seem familiar, but its simplicity can be deceptive, and
since time horizon is at the core of the concept being offered here
(the other terms being only variations on it), it is best to be sure
of it before we set out.
Time horizon is, to start with, a variable. Some see farther ahead
than others. Paul Fraisse and Francine Orsini discussed its variable
nature as a facet of maturation in 1957
(7). Children are greatly put out by the frustrations arising
from the postponement of satisfaction. They are noticeably better able
to stand delays as they grow older.
The variable aspect of time horizon continues into maturity and there
leads to trouble. Does it vary with intelligence or with environment?
Is it a genetic or a social trait? How much of it is natural capacity,
and how much is willingness? Edward C. Banfield, who gave the term its
widest circulation in 1968 with his book, The Unheavenly City,
ran headlong into a hornet's nest on these questions. He used time
horizon as a central concept in his book. He made it the measure of
social class, narrowing it down to "a function of two factors: 1)
ability to imagine a future, and 2) ability to discipline oneself to
sacrifice present for future satisfaction. The more distant the future
the individual can imagine and can discipline himself to make
sacrifices for, the 'higher' is his class." Criticism of the
original book led Banfield to publish a revision, not to change his
position but to "make it harder for some of my critics to
misunderstand" (8). The
changes Banfield saw fit to make add up to a valuable elaboration of
the idea (9).
Time horizon has a long and honorable lineage in scholarly American
literature, if not as a term, at least as a bone of major contention.
It is one of the few questions on which Jonathan Edwards, in his "errand
into the wilderness," took issue with a man numbered among his
chief mentors: John Locke. The issue arises out of two works in which
this country has its intellectual roots
(10). Locke furnished Edwards with a starting point with An
Essay Concerning Human Understanding, which the American minister
first read avidly in 1717 as a 14-year-old student at Yale. It took
years of reflection for Edwards to refine his contention to the point
where he was ready to disagree with Locke in his own Careful and
Strict Enquiry Into . . . Freedom of Will. He wrote it near the
end of an embattled career. The issue which divided the two thinkers,
though dear and categorical, is profound and deserves no less than the
careful analysis given it by Paul Ramsey in his introduction to the
Yale University edition of Edwards' famous book
(11).
Briefly, Locke and Edwards, striving to determine to what extent man
is free, were agreed man is unlike a machine in that "he has
reason and understanding," and that man's will is guided by the
dictates or views of his understanding
(12). "Good, then, the greater good, is that which
determines the will," says Locke in his first edition in 1690,
and Edwards stood with him. Thus they believed a man is free to do as
he pleases, his pleasure being determined by the "last dictate of
his understanding."
After the first edition of his essay had been printed, however, Locke
saw fit to refine his view, in effect bringing time horizon into the
understanding.
But there is a case wherein a man is at liberty in respect of
willing; and that is the choosing of a remote good as an end to be
pursued. Here a man may suspend the act of his choice from being
determined for or against the thing proposed, till he has examined
whether it be really of a nature, in itself and consequences, to make
him happy or not.
Locke wanted it recognized that man's understanding, being subject to
uneasiness in its present circumstances, has the capacity to range
over time and has "a power to suspend the execution and
satisfaction of any of its desires." It was an important
distinction in Locke's view. "This is the hinge on which turns
the liberty of intellectual beings," "the great inlet and
exercise of all the liberty men have"; "that they can
suspend their desires and stop them from determining the good and evil
of it."
It is a nice tribute to the human mind, but Edwards was hard-headed.
He insisted, even after 35 years of thinking it over, that Locke had
been more nearly right the first time. He understood the time horizon
Locke wanted to bring in. Says Edwards: " 'Tis a thing in itself
agreeable to the mind, to have pleasure speedily; and disagreeable, to
have it delayed; so that if there be two equal degrees of pleasure set
in the mind's view, and all other things are equal, but only one is
beheld as near, and the other far off; the nearer will appear most
agreeable, and so will be chosen." But he also saw suspension
for what it really is: procrastination -- the stuff of which
Shakespeare made a play called Hamlet.
Edwards also knew time horizon is a variable. "It is most
agreeable to some men, to follow their reason; and to others to follow
their appetites . . . and not only so, but to the same persons at
different times." Reason, being capable of taking the future into
account, and being "quite a different matter from things
appearing now as most agreeable," is sometimes put into the scale
and sometimes not. Remote concerns are, sometimes and by some men,
left out of the balance. He wanted men judged as moral agents not
insofar as they put off the determination of an act, by suspending the
will long enough to weigh the good and evil, but through an
understanding which continually (or characteristically) covered a
broad swath of time. It is relevant here that Edwards felt driven to
make his Strict Enquiry by the realities of his role as the
leading Congregational preacher in western New England; and among the
"sinners" of which he was consciously aware were land
speculators in the Connecticut river valley.
"The understanding," he insists, as we insist here with
him, to make clear that time horizon is not an occasional but a
characteristic trait, "must be taken in a large sense, as
including the whole faculty of perception or apprehension, and not
merely what is called reason or judgement."
TIME HORIZON AS A CONCEPT
FRAISSE BELIEVES "the psychology of time begins with Kant. Prior
to him, the reality of time had not been questioned, even though
philosophers disputed its nature"
(13). If so, time horizon
emerged as a concept even before the reality of time itself, for when
Critique of Pure Reason appeared in 1781, an awareness of time
horizon as a variable in human nature had already helped shape the
thinking which was even then drafting the first of our state
constitutions. Locke, in a different work, had warned educators that,
"He that has not a mastery over his inclinations, he that knows
not how to resist the importunity of present pleasure or pain, for the
sake of what reason tells him is fit to be done, wants the true
principle of virtue and industry, and is in danger of never being good
for anything." Hobbes had written of man's "perverse desire
of present profit," and Spinoza of man's "passions, which
take no account of the future or anything else"
(14).
Banfield in 1977, still sensitive to the criticism he had drawn ten
years before, but still standing by his views on time horizon, wanted
it known the idea not only had a most respectable heritage in American
history, but was being seen long before our constitutions were written
as at the very heart of mankind's need for government. "It is to
protect men against this irrationality that the civil government
exists," he wrote (IS). "Hume makes the fullest statement of
the case:
"Here then, is the origin of
civil government and society. Men are not able to cure, either in
themselves or others, that narrowness of soul which makes them
prefer the present to the remote. They cannot change their natures.
All they can change is their situation, and render the observance of
justice the immediate interests of some particular persons, and its
violation the more remote"
(16).
Hence elected leaders, the division of powers, checks and balances
and the other aspects of republican government as it came into
existence with our constitutions.
It was Henry Pieron in 1923, Fraisse says, who first defined the
psychology of time in a behaviorist framework, through the objective
study of human behavior in relation to time
(17). Since that year, the pace of study has quickened, but the
ramifications of what first seems a simple idea get deeper and deeper.
Fraisse admits that, of the differences between individuals in their
temporal horizons, "little is yet known." Indeed, this
writer has been able to find no standard test intended to measure even
roughly this long recognized variable trait. One such difference is
the degree to which intelligence is involved. Fraisse cites an
analysis by Robert Kastenbaum in 1961 to support the development of
time horizon which comes with maturation as being, "to a very
great extent a function of intelligence"
(18). Banfield's carefully worded second statement, agreeing
with the first but enlarging upon it, takes the position that, "Ability
(or willingness) to take account of the future does not appear to have
much relation to intelligence or IQ."
Such fundamental differences would have to be reconciled before the
terms could be used as an exact measure. It seems possible that
individual intelligence is a key to the "ability" of an
individual to conceive of a future, while social environment may have
more effect on "willingness" to do so
(19). It is not difficult to find instances in which
intelligent men have given their powers of reason second place to
short term profit. Walter Lippmann warns, in a discussion of the
balance between reason and desire: "When reason no longer
represents society within the human psyche, then it becomes the
instrument of appetite, desire and passion"
(20).
THE TIME HORIZON CONSENSUS
TIME FRAME -- by which is meant the composite of the time horizons of
all the individuals in a particular social unit. The author of this
paper, seeing a need for it, proposed the term earlier as being
related to time horizon and meaning "the collective measure,
being the norm for any particular social unit at any particular time"
(21). Thus it is to the
social unit under consideration what time or temporal horizon is to
the individual.
Time frame as a variable in the broadest sense is to be seen in
Benjamin Lee Whorf's germinal account (1935) of the Hopi Indian
concept of time, as reflected in their language
(22). Whorf believes the Hopi "has no general notion or
intuition of TIME as a smooth flowing continuum," yet the
language is able to account for and describe in a pragmatic or
operational sense all observable phenomena of the universe. He says "the
Hopi language and culture conceals a Metaphysics, such as our
so-called naive view of space and time does, or as the relativity
theory does; yet each is a different metaphysics from the other ... in
this Hopi view, time disappears and space is altered."
Fraisse considers it more specifically and explains that "each
social framework (family, profession, church, nation, and so forth)
has its own way of seeing time." Lawrence Leshan wrote of varying
time frames in 1952, pointing out that (as Fraisse puts it)
(23),
In any given society, the temporal
horizon appears to be fairly closely bound up with the cycle of
experienced expectations and satisfactions. Every man has the
capacity to evoke very distant pasts or futures, but in practice the
horizon that has solidity and reality for him is narrowly linked to
his way of life. The time of the peasant is one thing, and the time
of the city dweller is another."
The author of this paper has argued that (since time horizon is a
variable for an individual) time frame must be a variable for any
given social unit. Time frame can be affected by external events to
which there is a common response by the social unit. Such a broadening
of time frame is to be seen in the 12 years in which the people of
America fought for and won their independence, and wrote the American
constitutions. The much-disputed role of Thomas Paine and his writings
in that significant, though brief period of time may be seen as a
catalyst which helped to dilate the time frame of the 13 colonies
(24).
ADJUSTING HORIZONS TO FIT THE FRAME
TEMPORAL CALIBRATION -- by which is meant the adjustment of differing
time horizons to bring them more nearly into accord with the time
frame, so as to make mutual understanding possible. The present "now"
is, of course, the common index, so that any possible adjustment is
the depth of a perceivable future or a memorable past.
Whorf uses a parallel term in his discussion of "Science and
linguistics," drawing on his earlier revelations of the deeply
different Hopi Indian time frame
(25).
We are thus introduced to a new principle of relativity, which holds
that all observers are not led by the same physical evidence to the
same picture of the universe, unless their linguistic backgrounds are
similar, or can in some way be calibrated.
While Whorf was concerned with linguistic calibration, it can as well
be said of the need for temporal calibration once it has been
established that time horizon is a factor in fundamental values
(26). It was an empirical
awareness of the role of time calibration in successful communication,
arrived at as a working journalist, which led to the inquiry that
results in this paper. When speaker and listener, or writer and
reader, are on the same time "wave length," when they share
a time horizon, then clear communication is more readily possible.
When they differ drastically, however, then the values that are a
foundation on which understanding must be built contribute nothing to
clarity. They create misunderstanding, in fact, and thus confusion or
distrust.
"It is one of the main contentions of this book that these
patterns," says Banfield in his second work (he spoke of the
class cultures of the city, in the first one), "no less
than the logic of growth, are constraints which the policymaker must
take into account and which limits what he may accomplish." The
contention here is that the basis for those constraints is the
discalibration which exists between the several classes.
While the term is not generally used, the function is to be found in
a number of devices, including such socialist instruments as the "five
year plans" used by some authoritarians to coordinate, or "calibrate"
social effort.
It is temporal calibration by which this conceptual structure relates
to the sociology of knowledge. Karl Mannheim's "three distinct
types of thought," which have been found acceptable to others
considering the idea, are clearly strung along the continuum which
Fraisse says is a Christian concept and which is the generally
accepted outline of time in western civilization. Ideological,
realistic and Utopian thought are the equivalent of past, present and
future.
Mannheim assumes the inevitability of change, with the passage of
time. Realistic thought is that based on the present reality, and is
therefore most readily calibrated since it need not hypothesize a
future nor interpret a past. Realistic thought becomes ideological as
it drifts into the past, and Mannheim sees the latter as unrealistic
because it attempts to deny inevitable change. Utopian thought, on the
other hand, is abstract because it lies ahead of the present on the
time continuum. It is therefore drifting toward reality. Mannheim sees
it as unrealistic or impractical because it is "dictated by
wishful thinking concerning some imagined future Utopia, as yet
incapable of realization." L. E. Hill and R. L. Rouse, who
recognize Utopian thought to be "not currently realizable,"
add, however, that it can "cause a profound primary influence on
current intellectual history and, through this primary influence, an
ultimate secondary influence on future economic history"
(27).
Utopian thought is possible only for those with time horizons long
enough to encompass both present and distant future, so that there is
by definition a need for calibration if the results of that thought
are to be made understandable to others whose time horizons are more
nearly equivalent to the current time frame.
A major constraint rendering thought "as yet incapable of
realization" is the impediment of time discalibration, and in
those cases where Utopian thought is valid (not always the case) it
becomes capable of realization, and thus realistic, as it drifts
toward the present -- as hypothetical future conditions become
observable present environment. The interval between concept and
realization is thus determined by the rate at which that shift takes
place.
If this picture of social change is sound, there are at least two
variables which can affect the duration of that interval: 1) the rate
of that change Mannheim and others see as inevitable, which might be
seen as the rate of natural drift, and 2) the relative rate of change
between the time horizon at which the Utopian concept first arises and
the time frame of the social unit involved. The prophet who would
shorten the time between concept and realization will help his cause
insofar as he 1) lengthens the time frame of the group to which he is
preaching, or 2) adjusts his own time horizon to bring it more nearly
into accord with the time frame. Since time frame is a social measure
which may well be beyond his control, the prophet's only viable choice
is to adjust his own horizon as necessary
(28).
REFERENCES and FOOTNOTES
1. Irving Brant, The Bill of Rights:
Its Origin and Meaning (New York: Bobbs-Merrill Company, Inc.,
1965), p. 112, says "Lilburne's great gift to posterity was the
exalting thought of liberty as a natural right, but the time was far
in the future when men would be free to speak or print their religious
or political opinion if they conflicted with those held by Church or
State."
2. Karl Mannheim, Ideology and Utopia (London: Kegan, Paul,
Trench, Trubner, 1952); Werner Stark, The Sociology of Knowledge
(Glencoe, ffl.: The Free Press, 1958); L. E. Hill and R. L. Rouse, "The
Sociology of Knowledge and the History of Economic Thought," American
Journal of Economics and Sociology (Vol. 36, No. 3, July 1977),
pp. 299-309.
3. Henry George, Progress and Poverty, first published in
1879. It might be suggested that the lag is even longer, pegging the
initial concept to others who had seen earlier that land title is a
potential instrument of coercion, equivalent to the institution of
slavery. The French Physiocrats of the 18th century are most likely to
be confused as the starting point, since the term used by Quesnay and
his followers (impot unique) was later tacked onto George's proposals,
as the "single tax." Thomas Spence had an embryonically
similar suggestion in a lecture delivered before the Philosophical
Society of Newcastle, England, in 1775 (see Jacob Oser, Henry
George (New York: Twayne Publishers, 1974), pp. 104-5). Thomas
More, satirizing the enclosure acts in his Utopia (1516), is
one who caught an earlier glimpse of the land problem. Tiberius
Gracchus and the Spartan king, Agis IV, compared in the only one of
Plutarch's Parallel Lives to deal with a quartet of historical
figures, are others who grasped the problem early, the Roman in 133
B.C. and the Greek a century before him. George's essential concept,
however, was rooted in the idea of individual liberty, and is
inseparable from it. He was the first to offer a practical device
whereby the long-understood land question could be resolved within the
limits of liberalism, and is indeed necessary if free enterprise is to
succeed.
4. See, for example, comments by Harry Gunnison Brown quoted in
Steven B. Cord, Henry George: Dreamer or Realist?
(Philadelphia: University of Pennsylvania Press, 1965), p. 165.
5. The date of its first use is uncertain. The term got its widest
attention hi 1968 with the publication of Banfield's The
Unheavenly City (see note 8 below), but it was already in general
enough use so that Fraisse employs it throughout his article on
psychological aspects (see note 7 below) published the same year.
6. Alexander Hamilton, The Federalist Papers. The quotation
is from the ninth paragraph of Number Six, which appears in the
Clinton Rossiter edition (New York, New American Library, 1961) on p.
56.
7. Paul Fraisse, "TIME: Psychological Aspects," in David L.
SiDs, ed., International Encyclopedia of the Social Sciences
(New York: Macmillan Company and The Free Press, 1968), Vol. 16, pp.
25-29.
8. Edward C. Banfield, The Unheavenly City: The Nature and Future
of Our Urban Crisis (Boston: Little, Brown and Company, 1968)
where the first quotation is from page 47; and The Unheavenly City
Revisited (ibid., 1974). The second quotation is in a
letter from Banfield February 14, 1977.
9. It should be noted that Banfield, in both books, uses the term to
designate an ability to provide for the future, which seems to limit
it to the economic sense. The use in this paper is broader, and is
intended to encompass the "understanding," as both Locke and
Edwards used that word.
10. John Locke, An Essay Concerning Human Understanding
(1690); and Jonathan Edwards, A Careful and Strict Enquiry Into
the Modern prevailing Notions of that Freedom of Will Which is
supposed to be essential to Moral Agency, Vertue and Vice, Reward and
Punishment, Praise and Blame (Boston, 1754). Locke's
generally-recognized direct influence on the writers of the American
constitutions was through the Second Treatise of Civil Government.
(1689). But it was in the Essay, published within a few months
of the Treatise, in which Locke laid out the theory of
knowledge on which the rest of his work stands. Edwards' Enquiry
was being widely read during the years before our constitutions were
written, and Alan Heimert in Religion and the American Mind from
the Great Awakening to the Revolution (Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard
University Press, 1966) calls it "the Calvinist handbook of the
Revolution."
11. Paul Ramsey, ed., Jonathan Edwards Freedom of the Will
(New Haven, Conn.: Yale University Press, 19S7), as Volume One of The
Works of Jonathan Edwards to appear under the general editorship
of Perry Miller). See Ramsey's discussion, pp. 47-65; also Edwards'
Part-I, Section Two, pp. 141-43.
12. Ibid., p. 370.
13. Fraisse, loc. At., p. 25.
14. The quotation from Locke occurs in Some Thoughts Concerning
Education (1693), see paragraphs 33, 38 and 45; Hobbes, The
Citizen, Ch. 2, paragraphs 27 and 32; Spinoza, Tractatus
Theologico Potiticus, Ch. V.
15. Banfield, "Present-Orientedness and Crime," an address
delivered to the Harvard University Symposium on Crime and Punishment,
March 5, 1977.
16. David Hume, An Enquiry Concerning the Principles of Morals,
1777 ed., Sec. VI, Part I, para. 196.
17. Fraisse, loc. At., p. 25.
18. Ibid., p. 28.
19. N. J. Berrill, Man's Emerging Mind (New York: Dodd, Mead
and Company, 1955), p. 73. Berrill says, "In a general way we can
say with some truth that the part of the brain lying behind the
central groove is concerned with the present and the past, the part in
front with the immediate and the more distant future, although all the
evidence indicates that brain or mind acts as a whole and not as
separate departments." The physical separation suggests the
linguistic organization which Whorf found in the Hopi Indians (see
note 22 below), whereby all that is experienced or has been
experienced is in one tense, and all that is "soul" or "hope"
for an imagined future is another tense.
20. Walter Lippmann, The Public Philosophy (Boston, Little
Brown, 1955) pp. 63-4. Alexander Hamilton provides an interesting
example of this ambiguity. He understood the human passion for short
term satisfaction well enough to raise it in the Sixth Federalist
(see note 6 above), and was dearly capable of grasping the future, and
was concerned with it. Yet he was skilled at harnessing those "momentary
passions, and immediate interests" in others to his own ends. An
example is to be found in a footnote to Charles A. Beard's Economic
Origins of Jeffersonian Democracy, the original source of which is
the personal journal of Senator William Maclay, quoted in Sketches
of Debate in the First Senate of the United States (Harrisburg
ed.), p. 169. Senator Maclay had been listening to and was commenting
on the debate on the public funding of debts, when James Madison urged
his colleagues in behalf of his plan to discriminate between original
holders and purchasers of securities and speculators who stood to
gain. Maclay says Hamilton's followers, "seemed to aim at one
point, to make Madison ridiculous. Antes delivered a long string of
studied sentences, but he did not use a single argument that seemed to
leave an impression. He has public faith, public credit, honor and,
above all, justice, as often over as an Indian would the Great Spirit,
and, if possible, with less meaning, and to as little purpose.
Hamilton, at the head of the speculators, with all the courtiers, are
on one side. These I call the party who are actuated by interest. The
opposition are governed by principle. But I fear in this case interest
will outweigh principle."
21. Richard Noyes, "Time Frame as a Variable in the Fifth
Provincial Congress," Historical New Hampshire, Vol. 31,
No. 4 (Winter 1976), p. 211.
22. Benjamin Lee Whorf in "An American Indian Model of the
Universe," a paper read before the Linguistic Society of America
in December, 1935. It was included in the collection of his writings,
Language, Thought and Reality (Cambridge, Mass.: MIT Press,
1956), pp. 57-44.
23. Fraisse, loc. Tit., p. 29.
24. Noyes, op. tit., pp. 213-4. Scott Burns, financial editor
of the Boston Herald American has discussed another example of
time frame (February 16, 1978, p. 12). Investment horizon, he
explains, is "one of the most important keys to understanding the
direction of stock market prices." He describes investment
horizon as "the length of time investors feel comfortable looking
ahead. It's the period of tune the investor is willing to gamble on
accepting a lower dividend return in common stocks on the chance he
will ultimately make more money from higher future dividends or
capital gains." Burns says this parochial instance of time
horizon/frame is a variable.
25. Whorf, "Science and Linguistics," op. tit., pp.
214, 218-9.
26. Fraisse, loc. At., p. 28, Jinks language and time frame
more closely: "Past and future are made more precise by the
learning of the society's language. Along with language, society
transmits its representations of the past and the future."
27. Hill and Rouse, op. cit., p. 301.
28. For the conclusion of this report of my investigation, see "The
Time Horizon of Planned Social Change: II. How the Advocates of Social
Reform May Expedite Their Purpose Through Temporal Calibration,"
forthcoming in this Journal.
PART TWO
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