.
The Time Horizon of Planned Social
Change
How the Advocates of Social Reform May
Expedite Their Purpose Through Temporal Calibration |
| [Reprinted from the
American Journal of Economics and Sociology, July 1980] |
ABSTRACT. Recent recognition of time horizon as
a variable in human cerebration opens a window on the question
of how worthwhile social reform might be expedited. The
careers of three prophets in this millennium -- Bartolome de Las
Casas, John Eliot and Jonathan Edwards -- support the premise
that unusually long time horizons needed for prophecy create an
inherent differential between the prophet's horizon and the time
frame of his contemporaries. The resulting discalibration is an
impediment to communication. Rudimentary measurement of
the time horizons of modern-day proponents of land value
taxation, followers of Henry George, indicated horizons
longer than the current social time frame. It follows that some
calibration of that difference is advisable. Adjustments in an
individual's own time horizon are apt to be more productive than
efforts to shift the time frame as a whole.
|
INTRODUCTION
WHILE SOME INTERVAL between the conception of a means of social
advancement and its full realization is inevitable, there have been
innumerable instances in which that interval may be seen as unfruitful
and a waste of human opportunity. Some of the resistance which has
retarded the implementation of land value taxation since its proposal
by Henry George in
Progress and Poverty 100 years ago is here proposed as an
example of that social loss.
The writer has suggested a simple syllogism as a means of clarifying
a root cause of such unproductive intervals and, in what follows, will
test its premises and propose therefrom a practical conclusion
(1).
LAS CASAS AND INDIAN SLAVERY
SOCIAL REFORMERS, whose temporal horizons are wider than the current
time frame, have found temporal discalibration a major impediment to
their efforts, and have thereby failed to address present reality.
This is the major premise of my investigation.
Bartolome de Las Casas (1474-1566), John Eliot (1604-90) and Jonathan
Edwards (1703-58) are three social prophets who took "utopian"
positions on issues which remain vital questions in America today. All
three were Christian divines, the first a Roman Catholic priest and
bishop, the other two Congregational ministers in New England. Las
Casas and Eliot fought long and hard in behalf of racial equality and
the universality of man, taking positions now seen as valid. Edwards
was openly opposed to land speculators and other such sinners among
the Connecticut "river gods," who, he warned, "shamefully
defile their hands to gain a few pounds, are not ashamed to hip and
bite others, grind the faces of the poor, and screw upon their
neighbors; and will take advantage of their authority or commission to
line their own pockets with what is fraudulently taken or withheld
from others"
(2).
Each of them failed in his lifetime because his Utopian ideas were
determined by "the wish-image of an imagined future," so
were "as yet incapable of realization"
(3). They failed because they were unable to persuade enough of
their contemporaries that the ideas were currently relevant.
Las Casas (4), who was an
early participant in practices he later opposed, having been granted
an encomienda in 1513 which he relinquished a year later, is
recognized as the first to expose the oppression of the Indian by the
European and to call for its abolition. He wrote frequently and argued
often throughout a long life, and was able to win over to his point of
view first the Archbishop of Toledo and later King Charles V. He came
nearest success in 1544 when King Charles signed the so-called New
Laws, whereby "the encomienda was not to be considered a
hereditary grant; instead, the owners had to set free their Indians
after the span of a single generation." Las Casas was sent to
America to enforce the New Laws, but found it in practice impossible
to do so. He had convinced the king, by dealing with the king's
individual time horizon, but could not change the time frame of those
who ruled the vast territory of the Spanish colonies in America.
Las Casas's five-day debate with Sepulveda before .the Council of
Val-ladolid, beginning in 1550, has been called "one of the
important events in the history of racial thought"
(5). Neither side won, and
discriminatory practices continued. While the debate centered on
theological ideas, it had a temporal framework. Las Casas, whose own
deepest motivation may have been compassion, built his case on a
future concern. He warned the Spanish court against the misfortune
which must inevitably befall that then-powerful nation when she became
the object of God's punishment. Those opposed to him were more
immediately motivated: "The reason why the Christians have killed
and destroyed such an infinite number of souls is that they have been
moved by their wish for gold and their desire to enrich themselves in
a very short time" (6).
The debate at Valladolid and Las Casas's writings reverberated
throughout Europe. The people of England, who then had no colonial
interests to lend weight to present concerns, took the longer view
until such time as immediate interest came into direct confrontation
with future concern. A succinct statement of the temporal balance is
to be found in the introduction by Louis Rumaches to his anthology on
racial thought (7):
The attitudes of most Englishmen,
however, were probably quite similar to that of Queen Elizabeth when
she heard of Sir John Hawkins's first slavery venture in 1562-63.
Her first comment was that "it was detestable and would call
down vengeance from heaven upon the undertakers." [Note the
resemblance to Las Casas's hypothesis for the future.] But when
Hawkins came to see her and showed her his profit sheet, "not
only did she forgive him but she became a shareholder in his second
slaving voyage."
ELIOT AND INDIAN SUPPRESSION
THE INTELLECTUAL VIGOR of John Eliot
(8), who has been called the "Apostle
to the Indians," is remarkable. When he came to America from
England in 1631 he chose to be pastor of a new church at Roxbury,
rather than accept a lesser role at the church in Boston, because he
wanted to be nearer to the Indians. He was 42 years old when he
decided the English language was not adequate for his mission and,
refuting then-popular arguments that the Indians had no language, set
out to learn the Algonquian tongue. He learned the vocabulary, worked
out the greatly different syntax and grammar, and established rules by
which it could be written. Eliot then proceeded to translate both Old
and New Testaments into Algonquian
(9). His work was so effective that, it has been estimated,
Eliot had converted nearly one third of the New England Indians to
Christianity by the outbreak of the King Philip's War.
John Eliot's efforts came to the test in the summer of 1675 when "the
Honorable Council sitting at Boston" was trying to decide how to
handle the "Praying Indians" while at the same time waging
war against the more adamant tribes under the leadership of King
Philip. Eliot had the help and support of Daniel Gookin, Gentleman
(10). Eliot's antagonist in
the Council debates was Captain Samuel Mosely, brother-in-law of
Governor John Leverett, who was a man of action. He had raised a quick
fortune as a privateer against the Spanish in the West Indies. "Mosely's
success in capturing the pirates had made him one of the most popular
men in the Colony" (11).
His evident ability to handle the immediate threat of hostile Indians
proved more persuasive than Eliot's long-time concerns. Some of the "Praying
Indians," at Mosely's request, were treated much the same way
Japanese-born Americans were treated in 1942, incarceration being on
Deer Island. "More than 500 men, women and children were on the
island during the winter of 1675-76, one of the longest and coldest
winters in Colonial history. Despite the efforts of Eliot and Gookin,
a large number of the ill-clothed, ill-housed, and ill-fed Indians
died before Spring finally arrived"
(12). Many more of them were sold into slavery.
Mosely's short-term advice seemed justified the next August when King
Philip was ambushed and shot, his body quartered and his head sent to
Plymouth where it adorned a pole for 20 years. The Indian resistance
collapsed (13).
The temporal nature of Eliot's position is to be seen in the opening
sentences of his protest addressed to the "Honorable Council
sitting at Boston this 13th 6th 1675-: The humble petition of John
Eliot showeth that the terror of selling away such Indians into the
islands for perpetual slavery, who shall yield themselves up to your
mercy, is like to be an effectual prolongation of the war. Such an
exasperation of them as it may produce we know not
what evil consequences upon all the land"
(14). Mosely knew exactly what evil consequences would result
if the "Praying Indians" were to revert to an earlier
nature, and the Council's decision followed the old adage: "Better
the devil you know than the devil you don't know."
Eliot's colleague, Daniel Gookin, Gentleman, has left us some insight
into the minister's deepest motivation
(15):
In this work did this good man
industriously travail sundry years, without any external
encouragement, from men I mean, as to the receiving any salary or
reward. Indeed, verbal encouragements, and the presence of divers
persons at his lectures, he wanted not. The truth is, Mr. Eliot
engaged in this work of preaching unto the Indians upon a very pure
and sincere account . . . the motives that induced him thereunto . .
. were principally these three. First, the glory of God . . .
Second, his compassion and ardent affection to them . . . Thirdly,
to communicate the gospel unto the native Indians.
They are moral concerns, linked directly to the relationship of the
transient to the eternal, as all the higher religions have been. It
would not be difficult to support the argument that nowhere in man's
nature is his time horizon longer than in his religious search.
William A. Clebsch has seen fit to "explain how religion stirred
successive aspirations of the American dream, aspirations which when
transformed into achievements belonged no longer to the saints but to
the citizens" (16). It
is not strange, from this viewpoint, that Henry George turned in the
closing chapters of Progress and Poverty to the eternal: "The
hope that rises is the heart of all religions"
(17).
EDWARDS' CONTEMPORARY APPROACH
JONATHAN EDWARDS
(18), who had a clearer
working knowledge of land speculation than either of his fellow
prophets, brings us closer to an understanding of the fine points of
temporal discalibration. He was, like the others, concerned with the
welfare of the society in which he lived, and moved by some future
calamity which would befall it unless the needed reforms were made. He
saw that such a calamity for society would be dire for any individual,
since no man is an island entire unto himself. He differed from the
others, however, in that he was more conscious of that truth. While
Eliot knew not what might happen, Edwards knew exactly and
spelled it out. What's more, he took the case to the people. "It
was Edwards' great perception," says Perry Miller, "that the
get-rich-quick schemes of his contemporaries were wrong not from the
point of view of the eternal values but from that of the public
welfare" (19). He
brought the Utopian concepts of morality nearer to present reality,
but not quite near enough for his own good. The public welfare, of
course, even when brought to the present, is one rational step removed
for any particular individual from his own personal benefit. It is
simply another aspect of one's environment.
Edwards was precocious as a child. He astonished his elders with the
clear, cold perception of a scientific essay on spiders. As he
matured, that analytic power opened up for him a full grasp of the
truths Isaac Newton had broken through to only a few years before.
Discovering John Locke's essay on Understanding as a sophomore
at Yale, he found a "far higher pleasure in the perusal of its
pages, 'than the most greedy miser finds, when gathering up handfuls
of gold from some newly discovered treasure' "
(20). He followed his grandfather, the Rev. Solomon Stoddard,
into the Congregational ministry. When Stoddard died, Edwards, then
still only 26 years old, succeeded him as minister of the church at
Northampton, Mass.
That pulpit, and his powers of logic, made him the religious leader
of all New England west of Boston, an area whose settlers had begun to
prosper so that "inevitably they became more and more concerned
with earthly things -- rum, land, furs"
(21). As the valley's conscience, Edwards caught "the
vision of a future that could be brought into being through the
harmonious cooperation of all men. . . . What he asked, in sum, was
that the people of God in America understand both the privileges and
the promise of their dawning age of maturity"
(22).
He took his case to the people in terms, not of his time horizon but
of theirs, and the result was a phenomenon still known as the "Great
Awakening," but still not fully understood. It was so effective
that it split the religious community, but in so doing it gave the "river
gods" who were his antagonists the means by which to bring him
down. Perry Miller has given us a vivid picture of a most dramatic
confrontation in the intellectual history of America
(23).
When (in 1748) the fight had only begun, his patron and friend, his
one bulwark in the civil society, Colonel John Stoddard, chief of the
militia and warden of the marches, died. There was now no civil power
that could protect him against the hatred of the 'river gods.' ... As
was the custom in New England, the minister gave a funeral sermon;
Edwards preached over the corpse of the town's greatest citizen . . .
Those who were now certain, with Colonel Stoddard in the ground, that
they could get Edwards' scalp were in the audience.
It was in this dramatic setting that Edwards flung his powerful
adversaries his own definition of leadership -- the natural ability to
discern "those things wherein the public welfare or calamity
consists." It took them two more years to get his scalp, but they
got it, and once again it had been shown that when future concerns --
even those near at hand, and imminent-are pitted against present
satisfaction, the future loses.
Edwards continued to write, and his works are still seen as among the
greatest in American literature (24).
Thus he outlives the "river gods," but the facts of his
lifetime verify this paper's major premise.
THE REFORMERS WERE FUTURE-ORIENTED
THE CURRENT ADVOCATES
of LVT have temporal horizons wider than the current time frame.
This is the minor premise of my investigation.
The 1977 Joint Georgist Conference at Lake Geneva, Wisconsin, held
the first week in July, was an opportunity to test the premise, it
being a gathering of about 100 individuals representing themselves or
one or more of four groups: The Robert Schalkenbach Foundation; Land,
Equality and Freedom (LEAF); the Henry George Foundation; and the
Henry George Schools.
A major difficulty was the lack of available tests or measures of
individual time horizon, about which "little is yet known."
The writer therefore devised a quiz, using a dozen multiple choice
questions picked to provide some insight into the grasp of time,
realizing that any use of it would be as much a test of the quiz as of
the subject group (25). It
was administered to 64 of those present on July 2, 1977.
The same test was given within a few weeks to two other groups,
chosen as "controls." Employees of the MFE Corporation of
Salem, New Hampshire, including 176 men and women at all levels of
personnel from production through management, were given the test as
the first control group. Students of the Salem Branch of New Hampshire
College, a business school in which most of those enrolled were taking
evening classes in an effort to improve their abilities to provide
for their future, was the second control group. They were chosen
not so much as representatives of the current time frame, but for any
difference that might show up as a basis for their willingness to
sacrifice present time and effort in the hope of future personal
advancement. A total of 128 students completed the test.
The LVT group scored significantly higher in all except three
questions than either of the control groups, and on five questions the
LVT group scored 33 percent or more higher than the control group
closest to it (26). The three
groups were clustered on two of the three questions which did not
support the premise, suggesting an ambiguity in those questions -- not
surprising since the quiz itself was a first faltering effort to meet
a need not yet generally seen. The third of the questions which did
not support the premise gave perplexing results. Both groups with some
"future" bias scored lower than the group which might have
been expected to most nearly approximate the normal time frame, with
the LVT group falling in the middle.
While the test itself is not reliable enough to be considered
definitive, the pattern of the results gives the minor premise some
degree of validation.
FUNDAMENTAL REFORM NEEDS TEMPORAL CALIBRATION
THEREFORE THE ADVOCATES
of LVT are hampered by a need for temporal calibration. This
is the deduction I drew from the evidence, such as it is.
Charles Gallon Darwin, grandson of the man who wrote The Origin
of Species, believes "man is and will always continue to be
essentially a wild and not a tame animal"
(27). He adds that genetic evidence shows it takes a million
years to make a new wild species. If he is correct, the rate of "natural
drift" whereby any valid concept moves from Utopian to realistic
would be difficult to discern if it were to depend entirely on a
change in the species. Mannheim believes, and the sociology of
knowledge is predicated upon some inevitable change which the Utopians
wish for and the ideologists resist
(28). The lags that have been examined have ranged from 150
years to 450 years, and are discernible, which would suggest that rate
of natural drift is a result of some change of which the existing
species is capable.
Let us suggest, for purposes of this structure, that the change is an
accumulative widening of time frame which originates in the power of
reason and accumulates through language and the written record
(29). We are not born with understanding, but are able to gain
it more readily by means of language (alphabetical and numerical,
whereby we start where our predecessors left off) than by the
individual power of reason alone. Walter Lippman has called this
accumulation of understanding "The Public Philosophy," and
warned that during this century it has moved toward "eclipse"
(30). The first deduction to
be drawn for advocates of LVT is that anything which can be done
to protect the natural drift against reversal or eclipse is essential.
It raises the question, however, of how much can be done by
any individual, there being a degree of arrogance in the thought of
closing the gap between concept and realization by altering anything
so comprehensive as the rate of natural drift.
If this model is valid, and if the realization of social reform can
be expedited by a calibration between the time horizon of the prophet
and the time frame of the social unit he wants to reform, then the
course of action becomes obvious. The time frame of a social unit is
cumbersome and beyond any individual's immediate control. Time
horizon, being one's own, is the variable that lies within one's own
control. Calibration of time horizon to meet the time frame of one's
community becomes a matter of willingness -- or deference.
The only social reform for which the opposite might be true -- for
which the calibration should be in the time frame with which the
prophet finds himself surrounded, rather than in the prophet's own
time horizon-is that very widening of the time frame as a reform in
itself (31).
Jonathan Edwards helps draw the fine points of temporal calibration
because he was able to do some of both. He was certainly determined to
widen the time frame of New England, but he set us an example by
talking to the people in language they could understand, taking
Locke's ideas on sensation as his clue, and delivering such sermons as
Sinners in the Hands of an Angry God
(32). He aroused the land speculators and his other
adversaries, but by reaching the people who had until then been quiet
followers, he set "a blaze that consumed the theological universe
of the 17th century, and left the American wilderness to rake the
embers for a new concept of meaning." And from those embers they
raked independence and written constitutions, leading to government by
will of the majority, and thereby giving us an unprecedented mechanism
for accomplishing a social reform.
It is not enough for the advocates of LVT to prove and reprove the
validity of their concept in abstract terms, such as justice and fair
play, or even compassion, as Las Casas and Eliot were forced to do.
They must, instead, lay stress on the near-term gratification
available to a clear majority of the decision-making voters in 1)
money, as lower taxes, 2) economic opportunity, as readily available
low cost land for homesites, or the opportunity to produce which makes
liberty a real (as opposed to a nominal) concept, and 3) security,
through an economic system capable of dealing with inflation and
unemployment.
Temporal calibration, by the adjustment of one's time horizon for
purposes of improved communications, or even for purposes of bringing
about social reform, does not imply the abandonment of that longer
time horizon which makes either concept or early support possible. One
does not, simply by stressing the short term advantages, diminish such
inherent long-term or moral gains as justice, economic liberty and the
security of a society in which no one need be poor. It is simply that
the short term advantages are "easier to sell."
Study after study has shown, in city after city, that a shift from
improvements to land in the property tax base will result in immediate
tax savings to a great majority of home-owners. The proposal, which
may actually have been Utopian 100 years ago, has been made realistic
by events of the past century.
All this urges, of course, nothing that is not already done by an
increasing number of literate, effective advocates of land value
taxation (33), except that
more of it be done. The apparent quickening of the pace toward
realization may turn out in the long run to be the real verification
of this paper's syllogism (34).
REFERENCES AND FOOTNOTES
1. This paper concludes a report of an
investigation begun with "The Time Horizon of Planned Social
Change: I. Why Utopian Movements Always Promise Amelioration in the
Future," American Journal of Economics and Sociology,
Vol. 39, No. 1 (January, 1980), pp. 65-77.
2. The quotation from Jonthan Edwards' funeral sermon for Colonel
Stoddard is to be found in Perry Miller, "Edwards and the Great
Awakening," Errand Into The Wilderness (New York, Harper
and Row, Harper Torchbooks, 1964), p. 165.
3. See L. E. Hill and R. L. Rouse, "The Sociology of Knowledge
and the History of Economic Thought," American Journal oj
Economics and Sociology, Vol. 36, No. 3 (July 1977), pp. 299-309.
4. Lewis Hanke, Bartolomt de Las Casas (Philadelphia, 1952)
is a recognized biography. Manuel Giminez Fernandes published two
volumes on Las Casas in 1953 and 1960 but the work was not completed.
Louis Ruchames offers a bibliography in note 14 to his introduction
(p. 17) to Louis Ruchames, ed., Racial Thought in America (New
York: Grossett & Dunlap, 1970, first published by the University
of Massachusetts Press at Amherst, Massachusetts). Las Casas was sound
enough so that Samuel Eliot Morison was led to say in Admiral of
the Ocean Sea (Boston: Little, Brown and Company, 1942, p. 51)
that his Historia de las Indias was "the one book on the
discovery of America that I should wish to preserve if all others were
destroyed."
5. Ruchames, op. tit., p. 5, says the principal question for the
debate was whether the Aristotelian theory, that some men are slaves
by nature, could be applied to the Indians. He quotes Hanke to
establish that "during the 17th century, the Aristotelian view of
race 'reigned almost supreme in Europe and America.1" Aristotle
and Sepulveda were both advocates of what was then still the realistic
view on race, despite the fact they were separated by 18 centuries.
Thomas More approved slavery in his Utopia (1516).
6. Ola Elizabeth Winslow, John Eliot: Apostle to the Indians
(New York: Houghton Mifflin Company, 1968), pp. 72-79; Ruchames, op.
cit., p. 5; Las Casas, "A Brief Report of the Destruction of the
Indians" (1542), p. 36.
7. Ruchames, op. cit., p. 6.
8. Winslow, op. cit., is an excellent biography. Ruchames,
op. cit., p. 33, lists several other sources, beginning with Convers
Francis, Life of John Eliot, the Apostle to the Indians
(Boston and London, 1836).
9. Eliot's work with the Algonquian language helps to open up a new
concept of American history which would have helped him greatly, had
he been handed the other pieces in a puzzle. Barry Fell, Amerka
B.C.: Ancient Settlers in the New World (New York: Quadrangle/The
New York Times Book Co., 1976, pp. 27 and 277-85), has traced strong
etymological ties between words Eliot learned from the Indians in the
mid-17th century and Celtic Ogham words which were previously known
only in Europe. Place names still used in New England, with Algonquian
roots (Monadnock, Merrimack, Massabesic, for example) are
descriptively similar to Ogham words recorded and defined by Celtic
monks in the 12th century, preserving their then-ancient meanings. The
Book of Ballymote in which those definitions are still to be
found at the Library of the Irish Academy at Dublin, Fell says, was
gathering dust when Eliot was learning the vocabulary on a different
continent. Fell adds (p. 278), "The various Algonquian tongues,
especially those of the northern tribes, are rich in vocabulary
connected with writing and writing implements and materials. These
words are dissimilar to French and English words for writing, but
sometimes quite similar to Egyptian words for these ideas. An
extensive list of words of this category appears in the oldest
Wabanaki dictionary, that prepared in Maine by Father Sebastian Rasles
(whose missionary work began in 1690). The original manuscript of
Rasles' Dictionnaire is preserved in the Harvard College
Library, its opening passage showing that he began to compile it in
1691; he was still working on it when he was killed by British
soldiers in 1724, during the attack on Oldtown, Maine." Had Eliot
known what he was uncovering, he would have had greatly strengthened
current arguments for his Utopian idea that the Indians were "human
being (s) created in God's image, but 'lost.'"
10. The unusual width of Daniel Gookin's time horizon may be judged
by the opening chapter of his "Historical Collections of the
Indians in New England," Massachusetts Historial Society
Collections, 1st series, I, 181. It was republished by Towtaid as
a single work in 1970.
11. Leo Bonfanti, Biographies and Legends of the New England
Indians (Wakefield, Mass.: Pride Publications, 4 vols. 1968-72),
Vol. Ill, p. 41.
12. Ibid., p. 46.
13. Bonfanti, op. cit., Vol. IV, p. 62, says, "Although
... the Praying Indians of Massachusetts were allowed to return to
their villages after the war, their descendants were unable to enjoy
the fruits of their unholy alliance with the Colonists. The Praying
Indians became victims of their neighbors' greed and intolerance. In
time, they became so poverty-stricken that they were forced to subsist
on a much lower economic level than the poorest of their neighbors.
Even then, there were a number of Colonists who wanted their lands,
and the Praying Indians were eventually forced to give them up. Some
fled to the Maine Indians for protection, others anglicized their
names and gradually became faceless members of the various English
communities throughout New England, thereby losing their identity as
Indians, and helping to complete the total destruction of the southern
New England Indian Nations." The whole episode, covering almost
three centuries, is a substantial addition to the vast human suffering
which is this paper's first concern.
14. Ruchames, op. cit., p. 33.
15. Daniel Gookin in Towtaid republication 1970, pp. 47-8.
16. William A. Clebsch, From Sacred to Profane America: The Role
of Religion in American History (New York: Harper & Row,
1968), p. 2.
17. Henry George, Progress and Poverty (New York: Robert
Schalkenbach Foundation, 1962), p. 564.
18. The initial biographer was Sereno E. Dwight, The Life of
President Edwards, in The Works of President Edwards (10
vols. New York, 1829). Perry Miller, Jonathan Edwards (New
York: William Sloane Associates, 1949, in The American Men of Letters
series.) Other biographies include: Ola Elizabeth Winslow (1940, repr.
1973); David Levin (1969); E. M. Griffin (1971).
19. Miller, Errand Into the Wilderness, p. 165.
20. Paul Ramsey, ed., Jonathan Edwards' Freedom of the Will
(New Haven, Conn.: Yale University Press, 1957, as Volume One of The
Works of Jonathan Edwards), p. 47. Ramsey quotes Dwight, The
Life of President Edwards, I, 30.
21. Miller, Errand, p. 159.
22. Alan Heimert, Religion and the American Mind from the Great
Awakening to the Revolution (Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard Univ.
Press, 1966), p. 155.
23. Miner, Errand, p. 163.
24. Miller, Jonathan Edwards, p. 41, calls Edwards' Treatise
Concerning Religious Affections, "the most profound
exploration of the religious psychology in all American literature."
Ramsey says in his introduction to Edwards' Freedomof the Will,
p. 2, "This book alone is sufficient to establish its author as
the greatest philosopher-theologian yet to grace the American scene."
25. For details of the test, see the final footnote.
26. For the results of the tests, see the final footnote.
27. Charles Galton Darwin, The Next Million Years (New York:
Doubleday and Company, Inc., 1953).
28. Hill and Rouse, loc. Cit.
29. A widening time frame, leading to an increased human capacity for
postponing gratification, is clearly a factor in the development of an
agricultural economy, where crops must be tended, dairy herds must be
replenished and (before the advent of commerical fertilizers) fields
must be left fallow. Capitalism, based on savings or stored up labor,
would have been impossible for a society governed by its "momentary
passions, and immediate interests." C. Lowell Harriss explains in
"Henry George, His Enduring Contribution to Progress,"
Lincoln Institute of Land Policy Monograph #77-12, p. 48,
that, "Capital consists of more than labor and matter in their
customary senses. There are also 1) abstinence and 2) waiting . . .
capital formation requires that human beings abstain from some of the
consumption their income will permit."
30. The longer time frame of those leaders Banfield might describe as
"upper class" is the strength of the Republican form of
government so many of the Founding Fathers wanted. The shorter time
frame of those in the lower classes, conversely, is the weakness of
the democracy they feared. The exchange of letters between John Adams
and Thomas Jefferson regarding the "natural aristocracy" in
1813 (See Lester J. Cappon, ed., The Adams-Jefferson Letters,
2 vols., Chapel Hill, N.C.: University of North Carolina Press, 1959,
Vol. II, pp. 351-88) is enhanced by Banfield's temporal measure of
class. Adams and Jefferson went only so far as to agree that "virtue
and talent" were characteristics of the natural aristocracy. Time
horizon might be a more accurate measure. The present drift toward
egalitarianism would, in this sense, help to explain the current
eclipse of the public philosophy noted by Lippmann, and the four-year
horizons of recent American presidents.
31. Henry George and the other three prophets dealt with in this
paper all must be credited with having helped to widen the time frame
of their contemporaries to some extent. And George's two campaigns for
the New York City mayorality may be seen as a calibration of his own
time horizon to match that of the electorate. In fact, Albert Jay Nock
in his essay, Henry George (New York: William Morrow &
Company, 1939) faults George for making that calibration, arguing that
the final years of his life might have been more productive in the
long run had they been spent as philosopher rather than as politician.
32. Called the Enfield sermon because it was delivered in the church
at Enfield, Connecticut, it was an outstanding example of the "revival
sermons" which were so effective. Perry Miller describes the
results (Errand, p. 155): "The people yelled and
shrieked, they rolled in the aisles, they crowded 'up to the pulpit
and begged him to stop, they cried for mercy."
33. P. I. Prentice, "Self-Interest Questions about Property Tax
Reform," American Journal of Economics and Sociology,
Vol. 35, No. 4 (October, 1976); C. Lowell Harriss, "Property Tax
Reform: More Progress, Less Poverty," in Innovations in Tax
Policy and Other Essays (Hartford, Conn.: John C. Lincoln
Institute, 1972), pp. 170-96; Steven B. Cord, ed., Incentive
Taxation, Indiana, Pa., newsletter published eight times a year
since 1973.
34. The questionnaire used in the writer's Time Frame Study Quiz, and
a two-page table summarizing the results, are available as a document
distributed by the National Auxiliary Publications Service under a
program of the American Society for Information Science in which this
Journal participates. To obtain this material order NAPS
Document No: 03641 from ASIS/NAPS, c/o Microfiche Publications, P.O.
Box 3513, Grand Central Station, New York, N.Y. 10017, U.S.A. Make
checks payable to "Microfiche Publications." Remit in
advance US$3.00 for fiche, US$5.00 for photocopies; outside the U. S.
and Canada, add for postage US$1.00 for fiche, US$3.00 for photocopy.
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