.
Some Pros
and Cons of Inflation |
| [Reprinted from the
Henry George News, May, 1959] |
THE Chicago Daily News recently published a series of articles
summarizing the results of a questionnaire on the subject of inflation
of prices. The questions were sent out by a committee, appointed by
Senator Byrd, to study the subject and return recommendations.
Seventy-one replies were received and resulted in a 758-page report. The
results fall into five classifications.
1. Advancing wages: Wage increases and other benefits obtained
by expensive strikes add to the cost of living of unorganized members of
society and benefit no one. Labor now gets 70 per cent of the national
income and with the present tax structure there is no more to be had.
Compulsory union membership is condemned, unions should be placed under
the anti-trust laws and national federations restricted. Comment: A
closed shop union should be open to anyone who wishes to join it and, if
skilled, provide for training as many apprentices as desire to join.
2. Excessive Profits: Business should consider the public
welfare in making prices and is "threatened with a government Board
of Review (without ultimate authority) to police all price changes.
Price agreements are not mentioned, nor is it suggested that national
business organizations be restricted or abolished.
3. Government Spending: Stop ballooning government spending,
federal, state and local. Transfer federal services to local levels.
Discontinue present farm policies, doubly inflationary, designed to
raise prices at the expense of the nation. Discontinue airport
subsidies, reduce spending for roads and other public works. Scrutinize
handling of defense funds. Reduce government.
Comment: It is a pitiful fact that, until the cold war is brought to an
end, the many possible economies will have only fractional effect on the
budget.
4. Taxation: Our tax policy comes under greatest criticism. The
corporation income tax, all withholding taxes and all indirect taxes go
into the price of goods and inhibit business expansion. Income taxes
encourage debt, because interest is deductible from taxable income.
Comment: As for business expansion, we have, in terms of constant
dollars, 1.6 times the corporate earnings, after taxes, that we had in
1926-29, the biggest years in history previous to 1940.[1] In 1957 the
net national product was $434 B., private new investment in business and
housing $67 B., government expenditures at all levels $114B. Including
$27.5 B. interest and subsidies paid out by our governments, the
personal income available for our daily life was $280 B., or 65.5 per
cent of production.[2] Advancing land values are an important source of
inflation and a tax on land values, taking the place of other taxes,
would eliminate the equivalent of the rent of land from the cost of
production. Permitted deduction of real estate taxes from taxable income
encourages great estates to engage in land speculation, which is
inflationary.
5. Credit Policy: Give increased power to the Federal Reserve
System to cover non-member banks, savings and loan associations,
installment financing and mortgage debt. Coordinate government lending
and spending agencies so that they do not work at cross purposes. Have a
federal agency regulate interest on the government guaranteed mortgage
debt. Retire short term government securities in favor of long term,
placed with investors, not with banks. This tacitly, means willingness
to pay higher interest on government bonds.
Comment: Let us translate the classical "Quantitative Theory of
Money" into simple terms.
Price = Quantity of Money x Demand
for Goods / Quantity of Production
It can readily be seen that this equation would only hold good in a
free economy. If prices are regulated by monopolies, the equation fails.
The quantity of money can be regulated by credit policies. Money
derives from conversion of the instruments of debt and these can be
reduced or reserved against. Total debt structure, public and private in
1957 was $726 B.[3]
Demand for goods can be decreased by reducing wages and profits. This
will reduce prices and bring unemployment and depression.
There remains the factor of production. We have not yet discovered the
limits to which it can be increased in a free economy. Increase would
reduce prices. A 35-hour work week would stimulate inflation.
So what is the net answer? Eliminate monopoly in land, labor and
capital and have full production. But this answer poses another tenet.
There is a basic principle of ethics that is sidetracked by nearly all
economists.
The accumulation of paper values is a great social privilege. In times
past the benefit to society balanced the privilege and society paid
interest to the accumulator. Now business is largely financed from
current profits and the right to buy a crop of potatoes today with the
identical money obtained by selling one 30 years ago is being
questioned, not by a banker nor perhaps by an idealist, but the nature
of our economy. Inflation has the effect of cancelling out interest on
debt.
As for run-away inflation, it can only result from the government being
too weak to collect taxes or the business structure too weak to pay
them. The government debt structure must be honored in the terms of its
indenture.
1. Historical Statistics, P. 155.
Statistical Abstract of the United States, 1958 table 612.
2. Statistical Abstract of the United States, 1958 table 380.
3. Statistical Abstract of the United States, 1958 table 482.
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